Dear Friends,
It seems to me, the relationship between the US and China, could be set up so that both nations benefited optimally, but that can never happen with a Marxist one party state in charge of China. If, on the other hand, the government of Taiwan were to become the government of mainland China, the trading relationship could be set up so that the next century at least, would have high and rising standards of living… in both China and the US. That is because the government of Taiwan is not expansionist nor is it authoritarian. That difference between the Maoist state that is totalitarian at it’s core, and the Taiwanese state that has adopted the same principles of government as the US founders, is night and day for the interests of the people and the relationship with it’s neighbors.
Mainland China has to pay for some pretty hefty sins. The one child policy, for example, that aborted millions of children, at the demand of the government. That policy has led to an upside down pyramid demographic. As Peter Zeihan says, “because that is the way math works…” They cannot become a consuming society for at least two decades at the minimum and probably much longer. They must therefore export the surplus goods of their economy, else it will collapse like a house of cards. Moreover, China has few natural resources, other than rare earths, and so it is reliant on outside sources for it’s energy needs. Natural gas is the most efficient fuel today, yet the Chinese burn coal, because gas is not available in sufficient quantities, but the US is awash in the stuff. A natural partner.
The US has an insatiable demand for goods. Americans didn’t care where they were made, just that they worked and and are not dangerous. That demand, along with the US guaranteeing safe passage anywhere on the planet’s navigable ocean waters, allowed China to export. If the US stopped patrolling the waterways, China would instantly have to create a deep water navy… to protect it’s energy imports and it’s exports. Even the Chinese investments in Africa to secure access to natural resources would become irrelevant should the US pull up stakes. Since the Maoist government of China is intent on expanding, thus endangering the very paradigm that has allowed it to thrive… this shows it cannot ever be a partner, only an adversary. Unlike Taiwan or Japan which have limited governments.
When power is concentrated in the hands of a few, and those few are unaccountable to the people, as the Chinese Maoist government is, it can pass all sorts of very disastrous policies the people are forced to suffer. The Chinese Maoist rulers at the time thought it was a good idea to lower the population, so, after they killed forty five million by starvation during Mao’s lifetime, they decided it would be a good idea to tell people how many children they can have… at the point of a gun. The one child policy was birthed. Maoist China invaded Tibet in the fifties and is eradicating Tibetan culture as I write this, no different than the Muslims did Egyptian culture, after they conquered it. As long as there is a totalitarian government in mainland China, it will engage in crimes against humanity, it is their nature.
That mainland China is still ruled by Maoists is a tragedy for the human race. It certainly has been for the people of China, Mongolia, Tibet and others under the jack boot. Not just the tens of millions starved to death, beaten, shot and used for spare parts, but the untold millions of babies aborted, shows that regime cannot be trusted by their own people, let alone humanity. That is sad because if China were ruled by sane people, limited in power, the US and China would complement each other perfectly. US LNG, food and natural resources could flow freely to China while finished products could flow to the US. Everyone would get rich. That can never happen while an expansionist Maoist regime rules China. Japan was once a mortal enemy, now a vital ally, let’s pray it doesn’t take a war this time.
Sincerely,
John Pepin
