Dear Friends,
It seems to me that a light bulb burns brightest before it blows out. The current exceeds the filament’s ability to handle, the temperature of the filament goes up and so the light emitted goes up, while the filament is consumed. Once a critical threshold has been exceeded the filament breaks and the circuit goes open. China is the bulb of which I speak.
China today is an Empire in the traditional sense of the word. It contains within it’s boarders several distinct races and ethnic groups that are controlled by force, it has a hegemonic racial group and it is expansionistic both overtly and subvertly. The Communist Party, in whether in China or elsewhere, has no sympathy for the Right of Self Determination. China is truly an Empire in the most historical sense.
Empires can be ruled by emperors, aristocracies, democracies or republics, history has ready examples for any governmental structure. Athens ruled as a democracy, Rome ruled as a republic then as a tyranny. From The Seleucids to the Aztecs, history shows us that it is Empire that is the most common form of government, most people thorough history have suffered empire. But history also shows us that Empires reach critical mass and burn up, not unlike a filament burning out.
In the case of China, the Communist Party that has ruled, overtly, as a republic but in reality as an aristocracy. Their own actions have sown the seeds of the Empire’s destruction. One such mustard seed was the One Child Policy. The result of this evil and onerous law, foisted on the people of China, has created a huge disparity between men and women, a coming retirement collapse and inevitable social unrest.
When Romulus founded Rome and invited anyone who wanted to come and become a citizen he got mostly men. He knew that men make a strong, in the marshal sense, city, but not a long lived one. So he had a great celebration made to Bacchus. Then invited the Sabine people to it. Romulus then fed and entertained the Sabines until a predetermined time, when he stood and tugged on his robe in a certain way, the Roman men ran into the crowd and grabbed Sabine maidens. The Sabines ran in terror of their lives and only discovered later the loss of the maidens.
That the Romans went to such extremes to change the ratio of men and women in their society is important in this sense. The nature of people makes this so ala Schopenhauer on the will of the species from his book The World as Will and Idea. The men of China are no different than the men of ancient Rome. The Romans married the Sabine women and made them their wives. In fact the Sabine women stopped the final conflict between Rome and the Sabine people by throwing themselves between the armies and pleading their husbands and fathers to forgive. But the heartache and suffering of the families of the Sabine women were still felt. The heart ache that the men of China will inflict on someone will be no less felt.
In a very few years, there will be one worker supporting four retired people in China, due the One Child Policy. This will create huge economic tidal forces. Maybe the retired can be forced to work longer? No amount of threat can make someone who is no longer capable of working… work. Whipping will make a paraplegic only turn over. Cattle prods can not make a centenarian carry rocks. Demographics like economics is a dismal science. Mostly because it does not bend to the will of the tyrant like people tortured do.
Then there is the overt expansionist philosophy of the Chinese military. They claim the entire South China Sea and all bordering islands from the Philippines to Indonesia, parts of every nation that borders China as well. India is in direct odds over an Indian State that China claims. This expansionistic philosophy can only lead to war. War with Taiwan or some other unfortunate people unlucky enough to live on the boarder of an expansionistic Empire.
War of this kind always leads to the eventual collapse of the Empire. From Darius to Hitler wars of expansion have only led to heartache. The Mongols conquered more territory faster than any other Empire but was as short lived as it‘s expansion was quick. It flew apart like a defective bearing under load.
With all these stresses, not to mention some that are not entirely the fault of the Communist aristocracy, China has a tough row to hoe. The entire garden is littered with landmines. Most of which the Communist government placed to protect itself. But now have to hoe around. That might result in an bright light. At least for a few moments.