Posts Tagged ‘rational maximiser’

Balance

Monday, November 17th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, balance is paramount to a prosperous, safe and upwardly mobile life, just as it is to a flourishing, secure and advancing society. To keep balance, religion, science and politics should not intermingle, being different in kind they are like water, iron and salt. It is self evident that religious people should not decide who can run for politics, the same as scientists shouldn’t make decisions of religion, politicians shouldn’t interpret science or religion, etc… Each in it’s own field is a good that uplifts the human condition, but when one becomes supreme or is crushed by the others, the whole of society suffers. Societies have three parts just as each of us have three parts to our psyche. Our rational mind, our emotional mind and our spiritual mind have their doppelgangers in a society… science being the rational, politics being the emotional and religion being the spiritual. Balance being the way to keep society advancing, prosperous and moral. If we see our society becoming corrupt and needy, it is because the balance is off.

Our emotion is like an elephant, it has power to do a ton of work, but it has the potential of getting out of control too. Our rational mind is the rider of that elephant. The rider can steer but it is the elephant that does the work. Our spiritual mind lets the rider know what is right and what is wrong, what work the elephant should, and should not do. Working together, the rider guided by his morality, driving the elephant, is how societies get great works done. The grandest advances of the human race have been accomplished by societies that had this balance. Great works of architecture, art, philosophy and the mechanical arts have all sped ahead in times of balance.

Balance is never long kept. Power being so seductive, any faction that has got a chance to become supreme or to advance their power at cost to one of the others, will do so. It is human nature. The moment this happens the balance is upset and society precesses. It is hard to discern at first, and the faction that has gained power is in the best position to see it, but their egoistic interests collide with their self interests rightly understood. Sometimes even a small disturbance to the balance can result in a large tailed event, because when dealing with human societies that are complex systems, the likelihood of outcomes is on a power scale not a bell curve.

When the three legs of a society are in balance even if there is a collapse, as when the grains of sand exceed the angle of repose and settle to a new equilibrium, the slide lands with most people much better off than they would in a totally chaotic reset. The new societal equilibrium is more stable as well. Based on a balanced foundation, a society can stand a great many imbeciles for rulers and villains for advisers, but where society lands unbalanced, it lands with voids that weaken the whole, leading to social sinkholes to fill those voids, sometimes leading to a total societal collapse and reset.

A balanced society where religion is respected, science is allowed to flourish and politics is well disciplined, will naturally be prosperous, have a growing standard of living and it will be safe. We all want to live in such a society but we cannot let go of our prejudices. The despotic politician wants total control over everything, as does the religious zealot, and the mad scientist. If we want a safe, advancing and prosperous society, where our children can be expected to live better, longer and healthier than us, we have to start in our own hearts.

Once we get ourselves in balance we need to get our societies in order by electing people who are in balance. We have a tendency to elect mad scientists, despots or zealots to power. They have the most charisma and elections are nothing but a charisma contest. A perfectly spinning top is not dramatic and has no charisma, but a top that is so unbalanced it hops cannot help but catch the eye, and move our heart. We then vote with our emotions. We would like to think we use our logic to choose, but most of us don’t at all and none of us are immune to emotion, or our blind faith, and even logic itself without passion and the golden rule can lead us astray. The sad outcome is that we happily elect the very worst people to power because of their unbalance.

A well tuned car runs most efficiently, but to keep a car well tuned, one must understand how a car works. On a macro scale, when societies keep a balance between science, politics and religion they enjoy prosperity, safety and a rising standard of living. When a society attacks any one of those legs and one or two of the others become ascendant, that society experiences crime, poverty and a crumbling middle class. The way to become a balanced society is to become balanced ourselves. Nurture the scientist in us with education, feed our inner cleric with prayer and engage in the politics of the day. Balance ourselves, elect balanced people to office, often against our emotional inclination, and balance will return to society. Balance is the answer.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

A stake in Society

Thursday, November 6th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, if we want to eliminate the scourge of drugs, stop our children from joining gangs, and prevent the youth from traveling abroad to bolster terrorist groups, what we need to do is give them a sense of ownership in our society. Mencius said, “The people constitute the way (Tao). Thus the hearts of those who have a stake in the country are fixed and those who have no stake in the country are not fixed; and if they have no stake they let themselves go in vice and extravagance…” That advice is as relevant today as it was in 500 BC. A stake, or ownership in the nation, society and culture is essential to a person’s self worth and sense of future. When that stake is taken away the individual becomes careless about society, the culture and government. We see this plainly in the results of the Frankfurt school of philosophy when it was introduced into American culture in the early 1960s. If you want a better life for your children and yourself, it is up to you to make sure we all have a stake, else our standard of living will dwindle along with the fortunes of our society.

When people own their own home everyone keeps it up much better than when they rent. That is an established fact. People are at heart rational maximizers. Any rational person will maintain what they own and let go that which they do not own. This has been proven over and over in cultural experiments. In the slums of South America, when the impoverished are given title to the shacks and land they are on, those shacks get maintained, fences get built around them to protect them, they get painted and expanded. Those who do not have a deed on their shacks let them rot into the ground, because they could be bulldozed down at any moment or someone will simply come and take it from them. That is the crux, when someone has title, their stake is protected, but when someone could be tossed out at a moment’s notice, why should they maintain it for some usurper?

A nation is like a home. In nations with Right government, those countries protect the property of the people, they protect the lives of the people, apply law equally and they provide a framework that allow people to get ahead, if they work hard… and get rich if they both work hard, take chances and are smart. A nation can be allowed to deteriorate by negligence or it can be built up by elbow grease. Let the roof on a home rot away and the rest of the house quickly becomes uninhabitable, let the laws of a nation become corroded by arbitrary enforcement, and the nation rots from the inside. Break the foundation of a home and it crumbles to the ground, smash the foundation of a society and it collapses from the first wind of crisis. Give the people a stake and they will maintain it, take that stake away, and they will allow it to fall to the ground.

How does one give the people a stake in a country, culture and society? By several means. Protect the foundation of that nation by protecting the societal myth is critical. The constitution of those countries with one is that foundational societal myth. When someone destroys the constitution, they destroy the nation that was built upon it, no differently than when the foundation of a house is smashed the house falls in. To do that we must keep those who despise the constitution from having power over it. There will always be those who seek to destroy a constitution by conniving. Those people are villains of the most heinous sort.

Another thing that must be done is to enforce the laws equally and without bias. That requires laws that can be read and understood. While this should seem obvious, in practice it is perhaps the hardest to achieve. All people are selfish to some extent. Lawyers make the laws, lawyers prosecute those laws and lawyers interpret the laws. This gives lawyers a great incentive to make laws that benefit them, prosecute laws in such a way as to enrich themselves and interpret those laws to protect their position in society. To do that they must make the laws of a society so circuitous that no one, even lawyers themselves, can fully comprehend them. Furthermore, it is in lawyers best interests to force everyone to use a lawyer for every economic interaction, by undermining the very laws they are supposed to protect.

Perhaps the most important thing a people can do to give everyone a stake in the system is to maintain class mobility. Not only to maintain the ability of individuals to rise from poverty to the elite but to maintain the societal belief of class mobility. When schools teach children that it is not possible for them to advance beyond their status they undermine class mobility. When the elite pervert the societal myth, that class mobility is available for anyone if they work hard, take smart chances and persevere, they destroy the belief of class mobility. Possibly the worst way the elite in a society can eliminate class mobility as well as the belief of class mobility is to sell the fiction of equal outcomes.

The very concept of equal outcomes takes away everyone’s stake in society. When you will get the same as everyone else, no matter how hard you work or even if you work, you have no stake in that society. You are merely a slave and everyone knows a slave cannot own anything. Redistribution is so corrosive of a people’s sense of ownership in a nation it should be attacked anytime it is mentioned. The only people who have a stake in a country that redistributes the wealth of the people are the elite that do the redistributing. They always take more than their share and their share is protected by the army.

The results of these negative incentives can be seen in the United States since the 1960s. The concepts of the Frankfurt school came into their own then. Redistribution became vogue, class mobility was attacked in the classroom and in popular culture, the laws had been undermined by bureaucracy for two decades, the arbitrary application of the law became obvious, and the US Constitution became a living breathing document destroying the very foundation of American society. All these innovations took away the people’s stake, or ownership, in the country. The results were that drug use became rampant, it was the beginning of the scourge of drugs, crime skyrocketed, violence became endemic and the institutions of civil society began to deteriorate. Clearly, the path to prosperity is through giving all people a stake in their nation, the path to poverty is to take that stake away.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Election Integrity

Monday, November 3rd, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, for the democratic element of our republic to function, as democratic, first there must be honest elections, barring that there is no democracy only the tyranny of the powerful over the powerless. If someone wants to become a despot, all that is needed is to give the appearance of free and honest elections, but in fact so undermine the election process with fraud and vote rigging that there is no honesty to the election process at all. Of course to do such a thing is villainy of the highest order. History shows however, and we all know from experience, that people can be counted on to do whatever they can to get advantage, in this the political elite are far worse than the average man or woman, because there are almost never consequences to their wrongdoing. Elections that are rigged are not elections at all but coronations.

Since the democratic element of the United States is the essential means for our governors to get the consent of the governed, us, the integrity of the election process is essential. The United States is a republic, a mixing of Aristotle’s Right forms of government, despite the pervasive propaganda that the US is a democracy, one of Aristotle’s wrong forms. Aristotle’s right forms are, monarchy, aristocracy and polity, while his wrong forms are tyranny, oligarchy and democracy. His best form is a republic, a blending of two or more of the right forms. What the right forms have in common, is that they serve the needs of all people, and what is wrong with the wrong forms, is that they each serve the people with the power. Tyranny serves the monarch, oligarchy serves the aristocracy and democracy is the tyranny of the majority over the minority.

Perverting the democratic element of our republic turns the aristocratic element of our republic, the legislature, into oligarchy, it perverts the monarchical element, the President, into a tyrant, eliminating altogether the democratic balance. All this mischief is done by degrading the base of our system, which is democracy. It should be obvious that corrupting the foundation makes the edifice unstable. Each part of the government must necessarily change from serving all the people, rich, middling and poor, to serving themselves only. The President becomes a tyrant who only serves him or herself, the legislature becomes an oligarchy that seeks only more power and wealth… and the people follow their leaders and become self serving egoists as well. Clearly, no society or government no matter how constituted, can survive such depravity for long.

Those who might agree with what the corrupting faction is doing today, should take heed that no matter how much you might agree with them today, you may not tomorrow, but then it will be too late you have given them the power to do it, and given up your power to stop them. Many know there is blatant vote fraud but spuriously argue there is none because they want their guy to have power. They might believe their guy will do good with that power, but there is no case in history or in the future, that power gained by such means has led to anything but ruination for the people and the society. This is because power is like cocaine or heroin, in small doses they help with pain, but as the doses get ever larger, they fog the mind and corrupt the soul until the drug is all consuming. The addiction of the elite to power never leads to a good result, it can only lead to all of us loosing all that we have, our grace, our wealth and our children. All great civilizations have fallen thus.

It is by small steps that we race to Hell and by small crimes that great societies crumble. Voter fraud is by far the most corrupting form of small crime. Each instance may seem small but cumulatively they add up to great evil. Dishonest politicians can be dealt with, common crime can be cleaned up and foreign attacks can be beaten back, but rot from within hollows out the very center of a civilization. Once the center is gone collapse is imminent and nothing can stop it. Accepting vote fraud and election rigging is the surest sign a civilization is rotten from within. In 25 AD Titus Livius told the Roman people that unless they changed their ways Rome would collapse. He was called an idiot by the patricians and plebeians alike. Rome had lasted a thousand years and would last a thousand more. History showed Livy correct and everyone else wrong.

What Livy did have wrong however, is that it is never the people that corrupt a society, it is always the elite that introduce it, then pass it down to those they lead. Tolerating rigged elections guarantees corruption of the most pernicious sort… no matter how much you agree with the party doing it. That is because government must serve all else it is one of Aristotle’s wrong forms and will become despotic. Since democracy is the base of our system of government, election fraud that pulverizes the foundation, weakens the whole of our society. Therefore, if we don’t stand up to our leaders and demand vote fraud be eliminated, requiring those engaging in it be punished severely, our complacence will sow the seeds of our own destruction, enslaving our children to whomever rises in our place.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Road to Poverty for a Nation

Thursday, October 30th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, if we want to live in a nation of prosperity and liberty, but not one of poverty and tyranny, it is up to us to use our common sense when we vote. We all want to be prosperous that is a natural desire of humanity. The drive for liberty is a heart felt feeling that people have had since the days of Adam and Eve. How unfortunate then that these two mutually compatible wants are almost never met? Instead we always get tyranny and poverty. Our leaders constantly lead us astray, lowering our standard of living and becoming ever more tyrannical, until the nation state, city state or empire becomes so rotted from the inside, it collapses from something that wouldn’t have been a bump in the road a mere generation earlier.

I believe this is because of the fiction of enough. Oh, we can have enough pain, enough hunger or enough sickness, but it is impossible to have enough wealth, power, luxury, food or happiness. We might be sated for a short time after a huge meal, the giant bonus might make us happy for a day, but as soon as the food is digested or the bonus is put in the bank, we want more. There can never be enough of a good – while even a little of a bad is too much. It is in our nature to strive for more good and less bad and only a saint is immune.

This maxim applies to government and it’s officials as much as the common laborer, possibly more. Those in government want more money, sex and power. The seven deadly sins are all the more deadly when exercised by the political elite, because they not only destroy the virtue of the elite, but the nation they lead as well. No matter how much power the elite get they demand more. No matter the problems they created with the power they were already given, they want more, to fix those same problems, which will certainly be used to create more problems… so they can get more power. They can never have enough power over the individual, sex with young interns or wealth at the expense of the people.

History says nothing if not, when government grows beyond simply protecting the people from foreign states, safeguarding our lives and watch over our property… poverty, plague and war result. In fact, the fiction of enough is exactly why there is war in the first place. No nation has enough land, no matter how much land it has, no nation has enough wealth, no matter how rich it is, and no country on Earth is satisfied with the resources it possesses. All countries look upon the wealth, land and resources of their neighbor with a greedy eye. Perpetual war is also the most efficient way to remove our liberty from us, from subjecting us to tyranny, to “protect us” from this or that bogyman. This is made easier, by the fact the new class elite control the media in all nations, including the US. We are so easily deceived.

The covetousness of the political elite is not spent only on the property of other nations it is most hungry when turned on the wealth of their own people. Those in power will think of all kinds of ways to plunder our wealth for their own use. In this, the more power the government has, the easier it is to take what we earned through labor, to line the pockets of the elite. President Harry Truman said, “Anyone who gets rich in politics is a God damned crook…” How many politicians, in any country on Earth, are not rich within a year or two of gaining office? The more socialist the nation’s government is the richer the political elite and the poorer the people. That is because no amount of wealth is enough, even if it costs the nation it’s economy, liberty and happiness.

The only answer is to limit government’s power over us. But power taken is never returned except by a collapse and reset. Of course the elite will scream to the rafters that they need that power to do us good. But as I have pointed out, that power will do us no good, it will enrich the political elite and destroy our culture, society, nation and economy. The political elite know this as well or better than you and I but their greed, lust and hunger, overpowers their patriotism. When a politician tells you that he or she needs to be able to take from someone to give to you, they are really telling you they want to be able to legally steal from others, including you. You will get no benefit but your children will live in poverty and tyranny because of it. They appeal to our greed to satisfy their greed and call it progress. We are as lazy as the elite and seek wealth without work too.

We follow our leaders, we want to get rich in politics as well, even if we are not members of the political elite. They exploit this tendency in us to manipulate our selfish desires, desires they have put in us when we look at their wealth, power and prerogative, and stand in awe of it. We become desirous of those things ourselves. But in no nation or country ever constituted, has wealth been taken from the people and been given back, at no point in time has power been returned to the people, never has an oligarchy ruled for the benefit of all, and no place where the people have fallen for the deceit that they can vote other people’s money into their own pocket… has there been anything but increasing poverty, lowering of liberty, and eventually, catastrophic collapse. Yes, the elite start it because they can never have enough, but we always go along, voting the most corrupt politicians in, because they claim they will “give” us the wealth someone else has piled up… suckers that we are.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Ebola Pandemic

Monday, October 13th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, you have to ask yourself, what the heck are the global elite thinking? Their actions, especially of late, seem to defy any connection to common sense. When a nation is embroiled in a plague with the mortality rate of Ebola, (up to 90% of victims dying horribly), anyone with sufficient brains to keep their heart beating would know not to keep a steady parade of flights to and from that country. Yet the global elite refuse to stop air traffic between Liberia, Sierra Leone, Nigeria and the rest of the world. In fact they claim stopping air traffic would make the outbreak worse. With the number of infected people doubling every month or less, it would seem, keeping the friendly skies open has little effect on stopping the spread at least in the countries that are suffering, it only puts the rest of the world at risk. Not that I am a doctor of have any more medical knowledge than the average guy but there are questions that I would think should be answered, because… If you end up having to watch your children die of this horrible disease you can thank your representatives in government for enabling it.

I recently read in Science News that an experiment was done to find out if Ebola can spread by air. They took a cage of pigs that were infected and put it next to another cage with uninfected monkeys. The two cages were sufficiently far apart there could be no physical interaction between the two. After some time the monkeys came down with Ebola. The conclusion was that Ebola cannot travel by air… which is absurd on the face of it, since the virus clearly traveled by air between the two cages. The scientists however said that pigs have a tendency to aerisolize the virus and so making it possible to transmit via the air, but they concluded, it cannot be spread by air between monkeys. Which again is absurd because that is not what they tested for. I haven’t read any other tests between monkeys in separate cages. (Probably because they don’t want to find out).

Something that makes the Ebola outbreak so scary is that so many healthcare workers are coming down with it. You know, those guys wearing space suits, somehow they are getting it. If the virus is so hard to get then why do people dressed in hazmat suits get it? How could that be possible? Presumably they are not wading in diarrhea or drinking vomit. There have been no studies that I have read about explaining why health care workers get it at such high rates. Perhaps there are studies underway, I would hope so, that seek to explain this enigma of Ebola, but if so they haven’t been printed in any article that I have seen.

Another very concerning risk is that even in the very unlikely event someone has survived Ebola they can still be contagious for almost two months! That means anyone who has made it through the disease could go to London, Paris, Moscow, New York or any other city on the planet and spread it there unwittingly, or intentionally, perhaps in brothels. With a ten to twenty day incubation period, many people could become infected before anyone knew it… Starting a whole new outbreak on another continent.

The elite are peddling the fiction that isolating the outbreak would make it spread faster. They make no logical arguments, except calls to sympathy and charity to back their claims up. Some claim people would flee if air traffic is stopped, while other’s claim the economies of the stricken countries would collapse, but what would happen to the global economy if it goes planet wide? I agree that the world has a duty to send healthcare workers to stricken areas to try to staunch the outbreak. Moreover, doing so protects the planet’s population from future outbreaks, from the knowledge gleaned from this one. We should also send plenty of equipment and supplies to back up those brave doctors and nurses. To do anything less is to be less than human hearted. But human heartedness is not a suicide pact.

Now I’ll stoke some tin foil hat conspiracy theories… The Georgia Guidestones are often called the American Stonehenge. They were placed on a hill in Elbert county Georgia. They call for the lowering of the human population to under five hundred million. That represents a drop of almost eighty percent! They claim they represent a “new age of reason.” Added to that the date 2014 has been very recently added to the Guidestones. Perhaps it is crazy, but given the profound evil of some people, the Nazis, Marxists, Twelvers and many in the new class progressive movement, is it at all pragmatic to ignore them? Especially with the Ebola pandemic now on at least three continents enabled by unrestricted air travel?

The simple fact remains however, that we are dealing with a deadly virus that has no sympathy, is not sentient, cannot be offended and passes between people and animals in ways our doctors and scientists have not yet fully determined. It has now spread to Europe and North America by unrestricted air travel and if it gets to South America the virus will find fertile ground to spread. If that does happen, there will be a tsunami of illegal aliens infected with Ebola fleeing to the United States, one that would make the present wave look like a kid splashing in a kiddy pool. Should that happen there would be no way to stop the epidemic from killing hundreds of millions of people in the most awful way possible.

Remember, the Nazis slaughtered over six million Jews, two million Gypsies and untold Russians and other Slavs. Marxism has been a force for the extermination of human beings the world over, with over one hundred million people killed, some tortured unmercifully. When asked what he would do if he overthrew the US Constitution, Bill Ayers said he would install a Marxist government. When the FBI informant pressed Ayers further, as to how he would handle those that disagreed with Marxism, Bill Ayers, Obama’s close friend who it is rumored wrote Obama’s first biography, said, “about twenty five million…”

There may be no tin foil hat reason the global elite refuse to stop air travel between the afflicted nations and the rest of the world, the Georgia Guidestones may be just some crazy Marxist dream of utopia, it may even be possible that restricting air travel between the afflicted nations and the rest of the world would spread the pandemic faster, but any rational person must reason for him or herself. Common sense would lead us to recognize the danger of spreading this deadly plague around the world via air travel. Couple that with the history of the socialist elite to slaughter people and any sane person should be very worried.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Fox is Now in Charge of the Hen House.

Monday, September 15th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, putting people in charge of protecting something they despise, is not such a good idea if you want that thing to survive. A sane person wouldn’t put Hamas in charge of Israel’s defense, a rational parent wouldn’t put John Wayne Gacy in charge of his or her child’s birthday party and no one in their right mind would make Don Corleone the Attorney General. According to a news story I just read all of the appeals courts in the US are now run by a majority of Democrat appointees. This wouldn’t be bad if the democrat party had not been hijacked by outright socialists, progressives, but it has, and that means people who despise everything our Constitution stands for, are in charge of protecting it.

Control of our Constitution is the reason democrats filibustered Bush appointees. A move that at the time was unheard of. Once the progressives got their man in however they put an end to filibustering appointees. When republicans considered eliminating the filibuster it was called “the Nuclear option” by the unbiased media. When democrats pushed the nuclear button the unbiased new class media cheered them on. Now progressive democrats have filled all the vacancies Bush couldn’t along with those that have opened since Obama came to power.

Progressive philosophy is essentially the same as Marxist, the only real difference is the progressives eschew the violent revolution part of Marxist theory in favor of “progressing” us to full socialism. To achieve their end, a total state where people are the property of the state, the only thing that is off the table is outright revolution. They shun revolution, not because they are peaceful, but because they don’t believe revolution is the best way of getting there. That is why whenever a progressive is asked what is the difference between Marxism and Progressivism, the progressive laughs derisively and refuses to answer.

The difference between national socialism and progressivism/Marxism is the national versus their international nature. The Marxist/progressive believes in world communism, where everyone on the planet lives in their Utopian vision, whereas the national socialist seeks to enslave their own nation to the yoke of communism. The end of both are the same but one wants socialism for their country only and the other seeks it for the entire world. That explains why they hate each other so. They must draw from the same limited pool of people and so are in direct conflict for those potential enlistees.

In order to progress the world to communism the progressive only stops at violent revolution, not at violence. History shows that progressive will lie, cheat, destroy innocent people, undermine societal wealth, and harmony. They will do anything no matter how heinous, that progresses us to their goal. Since they are at heart atheists, and as such have no worry about eternal consequences, there is no limit to their actions. One thing stands in the way of the progressive vision of a united world under communism… the United States. More specifically, the US Constitution. That document is a stumbling block to them.

The US Constitution has provided the United States with the most long lasting republic since Rome, it has resulted in the most prosperous society the world has ever known, most of the industrial revolution’s advances are the direct result of US patent law… that is only possible under the US form of government, people still live in liberty even after over two hundred years of one government, and all of these goods are directly opposed to the progressive agenda.

Progressives learned over a century ago that they need not change the words of our Constitution to undermine it’s effectiveness, all they need do is change the meaning of the words, and it is the court system that interprets the words. Freedom of religion is now separation of church and state, shall not be infringed means limited rights, interstate commerce now means government can regulate anything you do in your own home and on your own land, but their diabolical attacks don’t end there. Progressives now seek to change the freedom of speech to freedom of government approved speech.

Both the Republican and democrat parties are controlled by progressives. The democrat party is totally in the hands of progressives and the republican party’s top echelon are uniformly progressive. That is why Tea party candidates come under the heaviest fire from republicans. The republican elite don’t believe in limited government, their rhetoric is only a means of tricking people into thinking there are two choices, when there is only one… progressive.

The judicial system is the final protector of our Constitution. Most of the heavy lifting is in the Appellate courts. They hear the majority of cases and rule on their constitutionality. Since there are no negative consequences if they actively seek to undermine our Constitution, once a progressive gets that lifetime appointment, he or she can engage in all sorts of mischief. Now that most of the judges on the appeals court are progressive democrats mixed with many progressive republican appointees, the change will come faster and faster. Yup, now that progressives are in charge of protecting Our Constitution, a constitution they despise with every fiber of their being, limited government will soon be history. World communism is the next goal.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Water No Longer Wets Us…

Wednesday, September 10th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, our leaders want us to believe, that water no longer wets us and fire no longer burns. Taken from a line from the Rudyard Kipling poem, Gods of the Copybook Headings, it describes the absurdity we are expected, to not only believe but invest our lives, fortunes and the well being of our children in. From the War on Terror to monetizing debt what used to bad we are told is good and what was good is now bad. Our leaders have managed to break the most effective wealth creation machine ever invented in part by convincing us want is good and wealth is bad. They manage information via the unbiased news, insuring we never get the whole truth, only part truths, out of context and mixed with many lies. The path they have put us on can only lead to disaster.

The war on terror is a good example of this. Our leaders have placed members of the Muslim brotherhood in key positions of national defense. This despite the fact Al Queda, ISIS, Hamas, and many other terrorist organizations are a spin off of the Muslim Brotherhood. Even the founding documents of the Muslim brotherhood says they seek a Caliphate. No sane person would put someone who has sworn to be an enemy in a position to decide our strategy against them, but someone who is convinced water will no longer wet us and fire will no longer burn, would do it and call it a good turn.

Monetizing debt, we are told, is the only way to escape the economic doldrums the elite have put us in. History is adamant that such policies always lead to economic collapse by run away inflation. History is filled with examples where printing money to gin demand has led to disaster, Wiemar Germany, Argentina, Czechoslovakia, Colonial America, the list goes on and on. There is not one example where printing fiat money did not destroy a nation’s currency. Today however, we are to believe that water will no longer wet us and fire will no longer burn, and inflation can never return.

Our leaders tell us insistently they would never become tyrants and that Our Constitution is an outdated document. Ruth Bader Ginsburg, a Supreme Court Justice, entrusted with protecting our Constitution, said as much in a speech a few years ago in Egypt. She said if she were writing a Constitution today, she would not use the outdated American example, but the South African communist one instead. We are to believe that today’s leaders would never become despots because they care too much to do that. History on the other hand, is filled with examples of nations giving up their freedom to those who claimed to be human hearted, the story of Dion in Plutarch’s lives is a perfect example. Modern wisdom is, human nature has changed, or in other words, water no longer wets us and fire no longer burns, the goodness of our leaders is a trait that can be learned.

Even socialism is sold to us as a wonderful fix for all the problems that plague humanity. History is adamant that every time socialism has been tried, it has resulted in famine, slaughter and tyranny. Yet our progressive leaders, especially in academia, claim real communism has never been tried! Millions buried in rice paddies in Cambodia might disagree. But this time it will be different we are assured. Socialism will make every one equal, eliminate disease, conquer death, put an end to war and cause benevolent space aliens to land and help us… because they will be so impressed at our advanced social evolution. Water will no longer wet us and fire will no longer burn, the future is great and enlightened, and people will never more yearn.

Once a people have become transfixed with “magic,” it is hard to get them to look behind the curtain, especially if we are told by the unbiased media things are going great, if not in our own lives at least in everyone else’s. It takes strength of will and requires we use our brains to deny the dangerous fiction we are being sold. Those that do will always be vilified by those seeking to trick us into damaging our self interests, and the interests of humanity as a whole, in favor of their narrow selfish interests. If we fall for the delusion we have no one else to blame. Because we know in our hearts, water will always wet us and fire always burns, to ignore reality ensures, the Gods of the copybook headings, with terror and slaughter return.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

A Positive Attitude and Good Outcomes

Monday, August 25th, 2014

 

Dear Friends,

 

It seems to me, an optimistic outlook is as vital to an optimistic outcome, as a negative outlook, is vital to a negative outcome. We unconsciously decide what we want of all things, even life itself, and we set ourselves to get it, be it a good outcome or a negative one. Sometimes it’s because we consider ourselves unworthy of this or that good, perhaps we have fallen below our misery quotient or simply that we hate ourselves so badly we can’t stand to see something go right, that we undermine our success. Thinking in negative terms, in negative ways, expecting negative things… will beget those negative things. While it can also be said to be true that thinking optimistically, acting optimistically and behaving optimistically will bring the best outcome to you, like a magnet does iron filings. This is such an important lesson to learn but is unknown to so many. If we want better outcomes, we need to think, act and expect better.

 

Of course that is not to say that all Pollianish notions will come true. There must be planning, preparation and follow through, to make an optimistic outlook something other than mere baseless hope. An optimistic attitude makes the preparation, planning and follow through much more likely. If we launch into a project with a positive attitude, we will spend more time planning, if we expect great things we will prepare more carefully and if we are optimistic while we are working on it, we will expend more effort in the process. All of which makes the best outcome more likely.

 

A negative attitude will undermine one’s efforts more effectively than groundwater hollowing a sinkhole in Florida. If we expect failure, our plans will be lackadaisical, if we don’t have hope our preparation will be half hearted and if we dwell on a negative possible outcome our work will be sloppy due to inattentiveness. A negative attitude will attract a negative outcome every time, unless dumb luck intervenes. With a positive attitude we will take more enjoyment in the process which makes the outcome naturally better, while focusing only on the outcome corrodes our enjoyment of the process, making a good outcome less likely.

 

A positive attitude is magnetic for people as well. We all want to be around positive people, it is in our nature, just as we avoid negative people. We seek out people who are fun to be around, those who are full of good news and people who make us feel good. A positive attitude cannot but do these things. If we have a positive attitude we can be complimentary without being deceitful, it is natural to be friendly without over familiarity and we tell stories of our successes and good things while avoiding the negative and bad, without being pretentious. Most people want to be around others who have a positive attitude.

 

A negative attitude is repulsive. Think about it, we all know the gloomy Gus who always has a sob story. They are draining. Ask them how they are and a river of pains, burdens and crosses emerge from their mouths. There could be a ton of good things happening in their lives but they only tell us about the negative. They hold you up for hours, (or at least it seems so), regaling you with their troubles. They have the Job complex. The sad thing is, they are avoided because of their constant complaining, while what they really need is the company, advice and shoulders of others.

 

The trick is to have a positive attitude. A positive attitude is as easy, and as hard, as to will it. Willing a positive attitude is not like willing a paper clip to bend or to force someone your mental slave, it is to make an intentional change in the way we think… then do it. We have to monitor our thoughts for a while until we become accustomed to thinking optimistically. We shouldn’t be vexed when we occasionally do think negatively, instead we should simply stay calm, let the negative thought pass and redirect our thoughts in a positive direction. Changing the way we think can be a very difficult thing to do. Our thoughts gouge deep channels in our minds, but the mind is ductile, those channels can be changed no matter how deep. When a rational maximizer finds a way to improve his or her life, at little or no cost, they take it… it is the best way to rationally maximize one’s outcome.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

John Pepin

 

3D Printing and Creative Destruction

Thursday, August 21st, 2014

 

Dear Friends,

 

It seems to me, 3D printing is an innovation that has the potential to start a new round of creative destruction. The potential of this technology to make whole sectors of the economy outmoded gives us an idea of the economic impact for the good, then for the bad, this technology will bring us and our children. Whole sectors like, manufacturing, home building, and even retail sales will be changed fundamentally by this technological revolution. Our standard of living can be elevated dramatically or lowered drastically by this technology, depending if government decides to distribute the economic good that will come of it. This will deeply effect how our children live.

 

3D printing is based on ink jet printing, it merely takes the ink jet’s 2 dimensional characters and adds a third dimension to them thus, 3D printing. With it all kinds of amazing things have been made. Things that could not be made any other way. 3D printing allows anyone who has a 3D printer, and they are getting cheaper by the month, the ability to manufacture, in their own home, most of the day to day items one would need. Spatulas, containers, book covers are a tiny speck among the possibilities. Just download the details of the ideal spatula and print.

 

3D printing has other uses as well. If a machine were to be built that could build a house using 3D printing technology, and one be will very soon, the entire home building industry would be flipped on it’s ear. Such a machine is easy to envision. It would use local sand, a polymeric adhesive and diesel or gas to run the thing, so it could be set up away from utilities. The 3D Home Printer would crush the sand into silt or perhaps clay, dry it and mix the dried clay dust with the adhesive and spray layer upon layer until the house was complete. Any detail that can be thought of could be included at little extra cost. A Queen Anne Victorian with all the spindles and detail could be replicated in exactitude… for pennies. Homeless problem?

 

Even operational machines can be made with this technology. So far relatively simple machines have been made like adjustable wrenches but much more intricate machinery can be made with this technology. Machines so intricate they there is no other way to make them. This opens up the possibility that a car could be made of modular pieces. If any breaks you could simply print the replacement and bolt it on. Moreover this same ability of 3D technology allows anyone to be an inventor! All one need do is imagine a thing, code it with a computer aided drafting system and print it. Voila! Imagine the things that would be invented if every member of the entire human race was given the ability to invent them?!

 

Of course with the creative part there is always the destruction. Today we stand at the starting line of the race to monetize 3D technology and so, if the governments of the world let up on the regulatory brakes, we are looking at a potentially high rate of economic growth along with the jobs, higher wages, more benefits and a rising standard of living such a paradigm carries along with it, all fueled by the implementation of 3D printing Technology. But in 10 to 50 years when this technology matures, (as long as government doesn’t abort 3D technology before it is born), there will be the wholesale destruction of entire industries ushering in an epic recession. One that can be turned around quickly by laissez faire policies or could be turned into a depression with socialist ones. Time will tell.

 

As the future comes at us with faster and faster innovations we should keep our knees bent so we are not knocked over by events. We are rapidly approaching several innovations that could change who and what we consider ourselves to be very soon. 3D printing technology is only one. The rapid advance of robot technology means we now face the possibility that the unit labor cost could fall to zero, with all that entails, and Moore’s Law showing itself to be true the leaps computer technology is taking brings the Singularity closer and closer. The interface of man and machine, coupled with 3D printing could allow us the ability to merely think of a thing and it will be made for us on our printers, or… if it harnesses us instead of we harnessing it, we could be in a world of hurt.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

John Pepin

 

Taxing Production Or Consumption?

Thursday, August 14th, 2014

 

Dear Friends,

 

It seems to me, if a leviathan government must be built and paid for, it is better to tax consumption than production. Examples of taxing production are, income tax, taxing interest on investments, corporate taxes, inventory taxes etc… Taxing consumption is when government imposes sales taxes and value added taxes. The question of whether or not we build up a leviathan, since we already have, is moot and so, until we tear the edifice to human hubris is torn down, the question of how we pay for the thing becomes paramount. Taxation, being a counter force to whatever it taxes, if we choose the wrong method of taxation and stifle our economies in pernicious ways we lower potential economic output more than is necessary. So this question, whether to tax production, consumption or both, has implications for every one of our standards of living.

 

It is a well know phenomenon that taxes drive up the cost of that which is taxed. As the cost of a thing goes up the demand for it goes down via the supply demand curve. The utility of spending that additional dollar for what you get diminishes… eventually to zero. As demand for a thing goes down the production of that thing will follow. As production drops units of productive capacity are taken out of production from building that thing, and are put back into the system, (people are laid off, machines are idled and plants are closed). Now we can frame our question this way, should we lower productive capacity, or demand, by taxes necessary to maintain the gigantic government we have, while limiting the damage to our economy such necessary taxation will do.

 

Many economists in the Keynesian camp will immediately argue demand must not be stifled by taxation and so production must be taxed. Their mantra is; demand drives supply. They follow the aggregate demand aggregate supply model of economic growth. The aggregate demand aggregate supply model has the advantage of being simple but it has the disadvantage of being wrong. Japan has focused like a laser beam on their economy for over a decade using the aggregate demand aggregate supply model. You know… their “Lost decade.” FDR went whole hog Keynesianism and ushered in the Great Depression with it. There is no example in human history where aggregate demand aggregate supply actually predicted or accurately modeled an economic event, but the faithful are hopeful. So taxing demand might not be such a bad thing as the demand side economists would have you believe.

 

Most who call themselves supply side economists, and so would be against taxing and thus lowering production, don’t have a clue about the basis of supply side economics. To say “supply side” is to focus on too narrow a policy. Supply side economics seeks a dynamic economy while demand siders only seek to increase demand, the source of which, (to them) is irrelevant. As a result, a demand sider is perfectly happy with a stagnant economy where, the older a firm is the safer it is, as long as it reliably grows it’s demand. Those of us who are supply siders seek to make conditions favorable for entrepreneurs to start businesses, grow those businesses and disrupt older technologies. We recognize that it is in the very disruption itself, of new ideas being implemented making old ideas outmoded, that is the fire in the chamber that drives an organic free market system. An organic free market creates new luxuries, makes old luxuries necessities and lowers the cost of our needs, and it does it by implementing new ideas.

 

Taxing production lowers production and so puts people out of their jobs, lowers wages due to the lower demand for labor but most importantly… creates a barrier to entry for entrepreneurs. Taxing consumption on the other hand drives down demand for those goods and services that are taxed, while creating a demand for behind the counter merchandise. Clearly, if we tax both production and consumption, we get the negative outcome of both, so in a sane world the doing both option should be out. If the very thing that powers the market system however, is the introduction and implementation of new ideas, then it follows that the implementation and introduction of new ideas should be fostered at all costs, and not undermined by any means. While taxing production makes it harder for an entrepreneur to start a business, taxing consumption makes capital more available, (since the interest on it wouldn’t be taxed), which would lower the barrier to entry for the would be entrepreneur.

 

The track record of the demand siders should speak for itself as should the track record of the supply siders. Every time demand side economics is blindly followed the economy gets the moniker “Great,” like, Great depression, Great recession etc… When supply side economics have been followed the economy has always flourished. The supply side policies of Calvin Coolidge, who came into the Presidency during a bigger economic downturn than Obama did, ushered in the period of the fastest economic growth in US history. Ronald Reagan, who inherited Jimmy Carter’s economic, foreign policy and Cold War messes, made it easier to do business in the US and the US economy rebounded. So, given their historical track records, taxing consumption and only consumption, would be the smartest move and would have the least negative effect on our economy. Because… If you seek green, blending yellow and blue works better than red and white, no matter how much you might want red and white to make green.

 

 

Sincerely,

 

John Pepin