Posts Tagged ‘politics’

Actions have Consequences

Thursday, November 12th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, actions have consequences, both individual and collective, some immediate and some delayed, but they all have consequences. Government actions, (collective actions) however produce a special kind of consequence. Of all the entities that have ever existed, only government benefits from mistakes, to a point, then the cumulative weight of those bad actions come crashing in and destroy that government which has profited so much, by a series of mistakes. Elitist theory says that every fall of every government is the product of a series of mistakes that led to it. When observed by a person however those downfalls might appear random, this country lost a war and so was destroyed, that country experienced a drought that triggered a famine, and so on. But when looked at in the long term, it becomes obvious that each failure was predicated on a series of poor decisions by the rulers, that led to their own downfall. The same paradigm work today with our modern governments and institutions leading inevitably to our downfall.

If you make a bad decision, the likely hood is that you will experience the effects pretty soon, sometimes you have to make a series of bad decisions before the consequences appear, but given enough bad actions consequences become inevitable. This is how we learn right from wrong, smart from stupid and profit from loss. The immediacy of the negative consequences is a great teaching tool for individuals. Governments however work under a far different paradigm.

If a government makes a wrong decision, the people suffer, but the government prospers. Each bad action leading to more power and more money for those in power. The consequences for those in leadership are profit for bad decisions and loss for good ones. If a government passes a law that is supposed to lower the cost of health care for example, and instead that law raises the cost making health care more unaffordable, the people will turn to government again to fix the problem government created. Government, and those in government profit comes at a cost to the people. If a government regulation drives down economic output, more regulation is demanded to improve the economy. Again government profits while the people loose. This can work for generations, each wrong action resulting in more government power and more money for those in power.

It works only to a point however. Each bad decision creates tension in the economy, society and defensively. One bad action might lower economic output driving a call for more equal distribution of economic output, which further lowers economic output. Eventually the economy of such a nation will be destroyed. Then the collapse of the economy will be blamed on some extrinsic shock, that is said to have “caused” the economic meltdown. Had the economy been left alone and those cumulative bad actions had not been taken, the economy would have survived the external shock and probably would have profited by it. As government regulates it’s citizens, and so corrodes the people’s stake in the nation, those who have lost a stake in the nation will care less for it’s future and will turn to drugs, crime and the dole. As more do such things, more regulation is needed to control those who have lost their stake in the nation, further corroding others stake in the national outcome until no one cares about the nation. If a war were to break out, no one would fight for a country they have no stake in, and so the war will be lost. As we have shown, it wasn’t the war that destroyed the nation but the cumulative decisions of the leaders. The war was merely the catalyst that triggered the consequences of the cumulative bad decisions of the leaders.

Our modern countries have profited tremendously from their bad decisions. Our leaders become rich while in government, then become filthy rich after, by selling their access. Each bad action taken by our governments enriches those in power and enhances their power. Those bad decisions have apparently positive consequences for those in power and so they become drunk with their seeming omnipotence. The worst their actions they make the more power and riches they get. This continues until today when our leaders act, to any rational outside observer, absolutely absurd. Sadly, there will come a day when the true consequences of all the bad decisions our leaders have made, come crashing in on them and us. Since they have profited so much by those bad actions, to expect them to change is like expecting a heroin addict to willingly kick the habit, while heroin is freely available and they live in a mansion. In the next incarnation, this same paradigm will work out, because the actions of government appear to have opposite consequences for the elite than the people. The eventual consequences are inescapable, the timing cannot be known, and people will point to some shock, war or outside exigency that led to it… but actions always have consequences.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Defective Products of Our Governments

Monday, October 19th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, a carpenter uses squares, levels and chalk lines to get satisfactory results, an accountant uses entries in a ledger to harmonize the income and outgo of a business’ expenses, and a CEO uses profit margins and return on investments to gauge their performance, those in politics however, have no such devices to insure the quality of their work, the effectiveness of their laws nor quantify the benefit of their actions. It would seem then, that the carpenter, accountant and executive is held to a higher standard than Senators, Congressmen, Judges or President of nations. The actions of a Judge has implications for the whole of the society, the economy balances on the laws passed by Senators and Congressmen, a President that refuses to equally administer the laws destroys civil society, yet there are no measures, gauges or regulations on them. The lack of which lowers, not only the quality of the work of government, but insures the sub par performance of everything government touches.

Imagine building a house without a level, square or chalk line. Such a house, no matter the expertise of the carpenter, would be shoddy. The walls wouldn’t be plumb, the floors wouldn’t be level and the framing wouldn’t be straight. Every part of that house would be terrible. Were a house built without the use of these tools it wouldn’t stand a year. If however, a house were built by an amateur, with the use of levels, squares and chalk line, even given the substantially lower skill level of the carpenter, it would be much better then a house built by an expert without the use of such quality enforcing tools. Quality work then requires the tools to ensure quality workmanship.

What if an accountant didn’t use ledgers to keep track of the expenditures of a business and instead kept all the figures in his head? That business would fail in short order. Money would be wasted, employees would get paid correctly, and inventory would be misallocated. No part of that business would function properly. No matter how intelligent or practiced the accountant, eschewing the use of books and ledgers would make her work terrible. Many businesses have no accountants at all however, but the owners themselves do the work with the use of ledgers and software t account for the expenditures and income and run just fine. It s obvious then that the use of ledgers are critical to running a business.

A CEO who didn’t allow the use of profit margins and return on investment would quickly find no one would buy shares of the company, and those who did would quickly loose their hard earned money. Such a corporation would be impossible to figure actual value, no one would know or could know, if it were profitable or not, or quantify the performance of the CEO. No matter how skilled in management that CEO was. The quality of his work could not be determined. Take an unskilled manager and let him used the tools of assessment of a company she runs however, and that company would be quantifiable, people would buy shares in it and the company would be able to function. If the company she runs is not profitable she will be replaced and if she does a good job the stock value will increase. The tools of return on investment and profitability are critical in running a corporation.

Politicians however have no tools to ensure the quality of their work, no tools to quantify the effect of their laws nor tools to understand the return to society of their regulations. Instead, government works in the dark, passing laws and regulations hither thither and yon. If a regulation backfires and makes the situation it was supposed to rectify worse, no problem, glom on another poorly thought out regulation. Which is like a carpenter not using a level to find plumb and so just nails on another board. If a law results in the lowering of a sector’s profitability, who can measure it, there are no ledgers to use to calculate the effect of a new law. If a decision of a judge has a pernicious incentive, who can evaluate it, there are no means of quantifying the societal impact of a judges ruling. Moreover, regulators, legislators, judges and presidents refuse to be bound by measures to improve the quality of their work, measure the effect of their labor or calculate the societal impact of their decisions.

What we have is a system where the person who labors with their hands produces high quality work, the person who accounts for the income and outgo of a business, calculates it to the penny, and the people running businesses performance is measured by the profitability of the enterprise, but our leaders have no such limits. Even the restraints of a Constitution are ignored and argued to the head of a pin. The result is that government, all governments, produce defective goods, deficient laws and inferior work. Such outcomes would be severely punished if a carpenter produced them, but they are accepted every day from our leaders. A Fourth Branch would provide the tools to measure, calculate the performance and quantify the societal effect of our leaders, unfortunately even the people most damaged by the defective products our government produces, recoil at the thought. Until we become as rational at gauging government, as we are about the quality of our homes, the profitability of our businesses and the return on our investments, we will continue to be damaged by the defective products of our governments.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Federal Reserves Zero Interest Rate Policy

Monday, September 21st, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, you can push a car to start it, but if the engine is broken, it will not start no matter how far, fast or how long you push it, or how well it ran at one time… If an economy needs a zero percent interest rate, that is a symptom that the economic system is broken. That several nations in Europe have have negative interest rates is a sign those economies are broken. This week Janet Yellen said the Federal Reserve will not raise interest rates above zero, and could even go negative, if the economy falls into recession. Basically a full admission that eight years of zero interest rates has produced nothing in terms of an actual economic recovery. The helicopter drop of free money given to government and corporations has not expanded the real economy, but filled bubbles, bond bubbles, stock bubbles, and who knows what else has been bubbled up by this zero interest rate policy, (ZIRP). History is adamant about the results of bubbles however, they burst, and when they do economic catastrophes result.

Economic theory, money theory in particular, says that when the amount of money produced is at the same rate as growth in gross domestic product, (GDP) there is no inflation, but for every percentage point above GDP, it creates a percent of inflation, and for every percentage point below the rate of growth in GDP, there will be a percent of deflation. That the rate of money printing has exceeded the rate of GDP growth for so long, and by so much, yet there is actual deflation, shows, not that economic theory is wrong, but that there is a huge drag on the economies of the US and Europe. The only way to have deflation with so much money flooding the system, is that it is not reaching wage earners but instead going to cronies, stock buybacks and salted away by the rich, who have access to the free money. If that money got into the hands of the people it would generate Wiemar inflation.

The interest rate in the US and Europe has been at zero since Obama got elected, initially zero interest along with quantitative easing, (QE), or in other words, monetizing the debt, was to restart the economy after the 2008 recession. The first round failed to get the economy going so more QE was done to gin it up. That didn’t work, so the Federal Reserve did it again, to no avail, now the economy is addicted to zero interest rates and any rise at all, even a paltry .25% would cause the world’s economy to melt down. (Not my words but those of Keynesian economists like Krugman and Blanchflower). No healthy economy would putt along with zero interest rates, let alone negative rates, without skyrocketing inflation. To give you an idea of how much money was printed, QE3 could have made 85,000 random people millionaires, every month!

That is the elephant in the room, the economy still requires life support 7 years after the recession, with no end in sight. The Federal Reserve is in quite a pickle… If they raise rates, the economy will implode, if they don’t, the economy will explode. They are indebted to those who have got the benefit of all that free money, the elite, so they have to bend to their masters and keep it low. Remember, if they raise interest rates at all, even the pitiful one quarter of one percent, the global economy will implode, which would show the Obama economy to be what it is, instead of what it isn’t. They know better than to make Obama look bad.

Yet the media that calls itself unbiased touts how great the economy is. The official unemployment rate is around 5.6% which is full employment, the stock market, despite some recent setbacks, is near record highs and stock valuations against profits are at an historic high. The brainiacs who tell us what to think, cheer us to buy, buy buy, and forswear savings, they tell us the measure of an economy is how many auto sales there are, and the rise in the cost of housing. They explain that as long as auto sales are good and the price of housing is going up, all is well with the economy. These statistics are what are seen.

What is unseen is far more scary. The number that is reported as unemployment is U3 unemployment, which only counts people actively looking for work, or in other words, those on unemployment insurance. The actual number is the U6 rate, which includes people who would like to work but have given up, which is closer to 10.3%! One in ten people out of work! That represents a huge amount of slack in the labor force, and shows why there is so little wage growth, moreover, almost all the employment gains in the last 7 years has been by immigrants, the American worker is being squeezed out of work by cheaper immigrant labor. Where are the soup lines you ask? They are hidden by food stamps, ebt cards and the dole.

The stock market’s historic rise has been driven by stock buybacks, institutional investors and more importantly, Federal Reserve interventions. The Federal reserve has been buying stocks and bonds through their proxies to insure the market only goes up. This creates a false sense of reality. The illusion is bolstered by companies that by their own stocks to drive up the price. The bond market is manipulated as the Federal Reserve buys bonds, which drives up the price, and therefore the yield goes down, furthering the illusion that all is well. This staves off the market’s finding an actual price for those stocks and bonds making the economy appear to be what it isn’t.

What is the titanic drag then that is breaking our economy? To further our analogy of a broken engine, the sand of regulations creating a drag on economic investment, is in the crank case, welfare that creates a negative incentive for people to work, has drained the battery, taxes which remove much of the profit from an investment in the actual economy, has plugged the fuel filter, a voyeuristic government that demands more and more intrusive monitoring of every action of the people and businesses, has removed the tappet covers, the new class philosophy of maximizing profits for upper management at the cost to shareholders, customers and employees, is shattered the gears from the transmission, as well as zero interest rates that create pernicious incentives for capital flow, which is like using nitromethane, the wrong fuel. Since none of these drags will go away without a total reset, and the interests of those in power are intricately tied to them, the only answer is to keep interest rates at zero, or negative, to protect the mask of prosperity for as long as possible.

What it all boils down to is that our economy is about to crater. An illusion only works for so long before someone walks into it and exposes it for the illusion it is. That the economy needs to be pushed by zero interest rates for so long, is indicative of an underlying problem not addressed by interest rates, it is a structural problem instead of a cyclical one, if you will. It is like pushing a car to start it because the battery is dead, but no matter how far you push it, the engine will not start. Someone standing by the road, could look at the car and see it is moving, but that is only an illusion it is broken, and cannot move itself. At some point those pushing become too tired to continue and the car stops altogether. That is where we are now.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Glittering Lies and Hubris

Monday, September 14th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, many people have a sense of superiority because they refuse to see what is right in front of them, instead believing a glittering lie. By their very nature a glittering lie is easier to believe than an ugly truth. A glittering lie is crafted so it catches the eye, tempts the mind and wets the appetite while an ugly truth is unappealing, the mind recoils at it and the stomach turns when it is said. In this way those who spread glittering lies catch so many people in their net. Of course when a glittering lie is questioned you can rely on those spreading it to attack the person making the argument instead of the argument, this is because it is a lie and so cannot stand the scrutiny of reason. Another sure fire way to spot a glittering lie is by asking yourself, “who will benefit?” If the answer is the person making the allegation, and it will cost you handsomely… it is probably a lie. To fall for a glittering lie is the easiest thing to do, many have and met with catastrophe for it, will you?

Human history is just a series of people falling for glittering lies. The German people fell for a glittering lie in the 1930s, the American people fell for a glittering lie in the same decade, the French fell for a glittering lie in the 1790s, the people of Cambodia in 1975, and the list goes on and on. The people fell for the lie, then realized too late it was a lie, then lived through horrors, economic hardships and unimagined violence as a result. A glittering lie is never told for the benefit of the people, no, it is told so some villain can seize power over the people. Any time a villain gets power over people he or she uses it. The result is never equality, a better environment, prosperity or peace, the result is always the opposite.

During the time the people are actively falling for the lie, those who have swallowed the hook have a sense of righteousness. They look down their noses at those idiots who are too dull to see the glitter and stand amazed at their own intelligence, acumen and open mindedness. Those who try to call attention to inconsistencies are hated, and when they are proven right, they become despised. Take the example of Edmund Burke. History proved him correct about the eventual result of the French Revolution, which made those who fell for the glittering lie loathe him all the more. No one likes someone who is right when they themselves are wrong, it proves the other’s greater acumen, intelligence and open mindedness, to hate that is human nature.

People who tell glittering lies always appeal to the emotions, but a lie is best when it contains bits of truth, so by combining emotion with a little truth, they make their lies appear to be obvious truths. Hitler told the German people such a lie, he appealed to their emotions in the slogan, “Strength through joy,” and the superiority of the German people, the super race… He spoke to their recent economic hardships by claiming the planned economy would give them prosperity, and he connected with the German idea of the Volk. When Winston Churchill said Nazism was a threat, he was drummed out of office, called a Luddite and spent years on the desert. Once he was proven right, the British people realized they needed him and elected him to office. When the war was over however, they summarily drummed him back out of office, because while they knew they needed him during the war, that he had been right all along made him hated by the new class who had been wrong.

The planned economy is another such glittering lie. Just as it failed in the French Revolution, USSR, Cambodia, China and everywhere else it has been tried, those who shill for it, never tire of it and ignore the tremendous human suffering it has brought into the world, and go on to claim it is inevitable. Those who have been proponents of the planned economy have been lionized regardless of the atrocities they have wrought, Che Guevara, Lenin, Trotsky, Marx, and a whole host of college professors and deans. Those who disagree are attacked personally and are marginalized. John Maynard Keynes is a economic giant even today, after his theories have led to successive bubbles, while Frederick Hayek is still wandering in the desert of economic theory. Keynes told a glittering lie while Hayek told an ugly truth.

Look at the vitriol Christianity is showered with today by the new class. They despise Christianity, all the more when it is proven right about an issue, be it the atrocity of abortion on demand, Pope John Paul’s stand against socialism, miracles or any number of issues. Those atheists who tell the glittering lie that Christianity is evil, always point to some atrocity someone who called him or herself a Christian did, hundreds of years ago, that was in direct contravention of Christian doctrine, principles and Jesus himself would find revolting. Some even justify the present genocide against Christians in the Middle East, as deserving, because of colonialism, antisemitism and the dark ages. Despite their own antisemitism, colonialist intentions and despotic policies, policies that are exactly what they claim Christians did wrong! While they point an accusatory finger at Christianity, for what it doesn’t say, three point back at them for what they do and intend. What the atheists who turn a blind eye to Christian genocide are really arguing, is that the innocent little 9 year old girl deserves a daily gang rape, it is just, since people she never met, is not related to, acted unchristian like and lived hundreds of years ago… did.

Those that believe the glittering lie will say, the science is settled, history has spoken, it is justice, it is inevitable and call it historical responsibility, etc… they will personally attack anyone who points out the inconsistencies as being Luddites, unable to grasp the intricacies, the argument is too subtle and dull witted, along with a whole host of pejoratives, withheld for those who apply logic to a glittering lie. Those who start and further a glittering lie always stand to gain power over the people if their lies are accepted. Just as today’s global warming alarmists stand to gain total control over the economy, our lives and gain power that historical despots could only dream of. To see a glittering lie for what it is, requires an open mind, probing logic and an eye for inconsistencies, that so few human beings are able to do these things and stand up to the personal attacks, smears and laughter of those who have fallen for the lie, is why our history is littered with human suffering.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Founding Principles

Thursday, August 27th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, when a nation abandons it’s founding principles, that nation at that moment begins a descent into oblivion. Great nations are always founded on universal principles. Principles that protect the liberty of citizens, their property, hold everyone accountable to the law and defend the state from invading armies. There are also various societal myths that form the basis of the cultural ethos. In the US for example, the sovereignty of the individual is the societal myth. These principles and myths work together to create a strong and lasting government, culture and society, as well as protect the people from invading armies. Nations thus founded have good economies, strong families and high standards of living. It is no shock then, that once a nation abandons it’s founding principles, it quickly begins to deteriorate. Since the principles and societal myths a nation was founded on are the reason that nation prospered, the abandoning of them begins a downward slide.

The reason a nation would abandon their founding principles and societal myths is universally the same. The elite begin to feel hemmed in by the founding principles so they grouse against them. The elite want more room for action and a greater part of the prosperity, to do that they now they must get the nation uncoupled from it’s founding principles. They tell the people the heightened prosperity is owed them. They lead the people away from the founding principles and into arrogance. Playing on the people’s egos the elite keep in front of the people a meme of outdated ideas, old ways, stodgy thinking and that was then this is now. The replace the founding principles with progress, the new and fill the minds of the people with distractions.

In this way a general sense of arrogance begins to creep into the minds of the people and is magnified in the elite. Some generation, far enough away from the founding that they have forgot the violence and struggle it took to birth the nation or what times were like before the founding, disdainful of their forefathers and their egos swelled up like a balloon ready to pop, they begin to believe they know better than their forefathers and turn to their own ideas, ideas that always involve taking the liberty of people they disagree with, stealing the property of those who are “rich,” and stop applying the law equally because some can’t be held to a standard.

No great calamity happens in a vacuum. In every case calamity stems from a build up of events, most seem small and insignificant at the time, moreover they pile up and pile up without any negative consequences so they come faster and get bigger. Events such as small intrusions on the founding principles. Any well founded nation can stand many such incursions, by the momentum it builds up in it’s expansion. Rome was just such an example. Even as Titus Livious warned the Romans Rome would fall unless they went back to their principles, the people laughed and scoffed at him, Rome has lasted a thousand years and would go on forever. Displaying the arrogance and disregard of their founders that always characterizes a people before their fall. Rome did go on for a few more centuries, centuries of calamity after calamity, culminating in Attila’s surrounding Rome. Rome lasted those centuries because on the momentum it had built up in it’s republican days.

No nation that still lives under it’s founding principles is defeated in war, only those nations that have abandoned those principles, are defeated in war. Wars come and go, but they are only existential threats to those nations who’s people have become lovers of luxury, arrogant, egoistic and lazy. Such nations are ripe for a fall and every would be tyrant alive sees it. Weakness in a people invites disaster. Such people are fickle in war as in every other thing, when push comes to shove an army of such people is no more than a paper tiger, it is destroyed at the first hint of flame. The government that has led the people into being fickle, egoistic and arrogant, while it might be unmerciful to it’s own people, is terrified of other nations and displays it fear to the world further inviting calamity. In this we can say that it was the abandoning of the founding principles that made the people ripe for invasion. The leaders first the people after.

Europe and the US have abandoned their founding principles. One by one they have been abandoned and replaced by progressive doctrines that teach the exact opposite of the founding principles. The societal myth has withered in both Europe and the US. Europe is being invaded by people who will, in short order subjugate the native Europeans, when that happens, the Europeans will exclaim, “What a catastrophe! How could this have happened?” The US will soon face economic Armageddon from out of control taxation, spending, regulation and cronyism, when that happens, the American people will cry out, “This is a calamity! Why me, why now?” even as the Europeans and Americans lament their misfortune, they will know in their hearts, they are the reason for the calamity, but will not be able to face the truth… so will blame the Muslims, the Bankers, the politicians… anyone but themselves, for allowing themselves to be led away from their founding principles.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Hillary Clinton’s Wiped Email Server

Thursday, August 20th, 2015

Dear friends,

It seems to me, if Hillary Clinton and the others who have wiped their hard drives and gone to extraordinary lengths to hide their emails from law enforcement, get away with it, that will be proof positive we live in a place and time where some are above the law. When some are above the law, you don’t really have law, what you have is arbitrary rule masquerading as law. The only reason arbitrary rule masquerades as law, is to trick the subjects into thinking they are citizens. It is a way of making the average person feel he or she is valued, our property is safe and our persons are protected, and therefor arbitrary rule masquerading as law keeps us quite and compliant – and can go on unabated. This is far more pernicious than it appears on the surface. A market economy cannot function, the standard of living must necessarily fall and violence will sooner or later appear, under arbitrary rule, especially where arbitrary rule masquerades as law. Your life, property and liberty is directly effected by the outcome of the investigation into Hillary Clinton’s emails.

Let’s face it, you or I would go to jail of the government subpoenaed our email, and we had the hard drive professionally cleaned to prevent them. It would be a no brainer. Simply the fact we did it would in and of itself be a sufficient crime to get us arrested and in court. Regardless if all we had on that hard drive was pictures of puppies holding flowers. The moment you or I wiped a hard drive subpoenaed by the government we would have committed a crime. Don’t think for a second any prosecuting attorney would let it go. The full weight and power of the government would be leveled against us. Yet, Hillary Clinton and a few of her cronies have done it, and so far they have escaped any punishment for it. One can only logically conclude it is because they are above the law.

Now if there is a huge public outcry, and that is the impetus for the government to actually charge them with a crime, that is also very indicative of arbitrary rule masquerading as law. This is because if it takes political pressure from the people before the Justice Department, (DOJ) will do it’s job, the DOJ was not planning on prosecuting them in the first place! The only reason the DOJ wouldn’t charge someone immediately when evidence becomes clear a law was broken… is because the law breaker is above the law! If some people can break the law, and the only way the government will charge them, while it would immediately charge another for that same crime, they are by definition, above the law and therefore we have arbitrary rule.

Arbitrary rule is a situation where “law” is arbitrarily passed or enforced. The ancient Greeks held arbitrary rule to be one of the primary definitions of tyranny. There was great debate among the ancients about the advantages and disadvantages of arbitrary rule. Some, like the sophist Thrasymachus, favored arbitrary rule while others, like Socrates, held it was uniformly and universally evil. History has come down on the side of Socrates and not Thrasymachus. Moreover, arbitrary rule always results in poverty, tyranny and violence. All people know in their hearts and in their minds arbitrary rule is wrong. Justice requires that all human beings be treated equally by their governments, to do anything less is unjust. So, arbitrary rule is by nature, unjust, and creates conditions of injustice.

Whenever injustice masquerades as justice, it pretends to be what it isn’t, and anytime someone pretends something to be what it is not, it is so the injustice can continue. Injustice masquerading as justice is a con game the elite don’t want to stop. Of the two, arbitrary rule masquerading as law is worse than open and obvious arbitrary rule. In the first case, when an evil is hidden it can grow, in the second case evil exposed to sunlight withers. Since Hillary Clinton has escaped justice so far is proof we live under arbitrary rule. The question now is, is that arbitrary rule masquerading as law or is it open and obvious arbitrary rule?

We need to watch this scandal unfold with open eyes. If she and her sidekicks are charged and punished, it is evidence we don’t yet live under arbitrary rule. If we sit, and she skates on a crime you and I would face severe punishment for, it is proof positive we live under open arbitrary rule. If we rise up and demand they be charged, as we would be, then we have admitted Hillary Clinton and her boot licks are above the law, by having to rise up, and it will be proof injustice is masquerading as justice. If however, she is charged and gets a mere show trial to placate the masses, we live under arbitrary rule masquerading as law, injustice pretending to be justice, and because the injustice is hidden it can grow and metastasis into a cancer that will take our prosperity, liberty and reduce us and our children to slaves. We can do something, enact a Fourth Branch, but in our complacency most will merely go back to watching dancing with the stars, ensuring the cancer of injustice pretending to be justice endures.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Cultural Suicide

Sunday, August 9th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, the more civilized a society believes it is, the more susceptible that society is to violent factions. To maintain the veneer of civilization, government in that society will bend over backwards to prevent violence, in doing so they will empower that violence, and the faction that engages in it. Moreover, those who believe in moral and cultural relativity will also believe that those who are not violent but engage in liberty are the problem, since they cannot blame the violent person out of cultural sensitivity and multiculturalism, so they blame those who offend the violently disposed. This turns into a sort of cultural suicide, replacing civilization with barbarism. Those who would prefer to live in a civilized society should take this to heart, because to ignore this truth is a certain path to violence, poverty and oppression. I wonder however, are the elite so dumb they don’t already know this, or is there something more diabolical going on?

Sweden considers itself a bastion of civilization. They believe their inclusiveness, embracing of multiculturalism, progressive politics and social welfare is the height of civilization. They have been on a path to diversity for a generation and they have got it. Sweden has imported millions of people who do not share their love of Swedish civilization, laws, ethics or people. The inevitable result is that Sweden is the rape capital of Europe, where once Sweden was one of the safest places on Earth, for anyone, now there are places that are very dangerous even for Swedes. No go zones where Swedes, if they are caught, they are beaten up or worse. The government will not punish the violent faction that engages in violence, but is all too willing to punish those who offend, by their mere presence. In their race to be inclusive, Sweden is committing cultural suicide. The wages of those policies will be poverty, violence and oppression.

Indeed all of Europe is in the throws of cultural suicide. They are rapidly replacing their native population with people who despise them, their culture, heritage, ethics and liberal policies. They allow violence in the name of multiculturalism. They encourage intolerance in the name of tolerance. The welfare states of Europe are beginning to teeter, from the weight of the huge masses of people who go there to get on the dole, and undermine European civilization. In fact, the European people are funding their own demise. Those who work, support those who hate them and have nothing but antipathy for their culture, society and liberality. That the average European is working to support their oppressors, in ancient parlance, that was called the slave/master relationship, today it is called inclusiveness.

The US is no better. The overt policy of the US government is to change the demographics of the nation since the 1960’s. In the parlance of Marxists, the intelligentsia, (new class) are the brains and the proletariat are the heart, but f the proletariat will not step up and accept their “historic role,” then a change in the proletariat is in order. This is what the US is engaged in, changing the proletariat to one that is more convenient to their plans for the country. In doing so they accept violence from certain factions, blaming the actions of that faction on the victims, and claiming that violence doesn’t paint the whole of that faction, while any violence done by others is claimed to be indicative of everyone in that group. The inevitable result will be poverty, violence and oppression.

Now, those in the new class are pretty smart people, just ask them, they will tell you they are much smarter than you and I. Since they are so much smarter than us, does it seem possible they are ignorant of what they are doing? Is it possible that the elite in Sweden don’t know their policies of coddling a violent faction, and indeed importing millions more, is a form of cultural suicide? Could it be that the new class leaders in Europe are unaware that replacing the native European population with those who despise that culture, people, ethics and liberality, can only result in poverty, violence and oppression? Maybe the new class politicians in the US are not aware that changing the demographics to people who will step up and accept their historic role in the revolution, will result in revolution? Or maybe, just maybe, those in the new class know exactly what they are doing? There are only two possibilities, the new class is filled with imbeciles, or villains.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Donald Trump and the Lunatic fringe

Thursday, July 30th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, the meteoric rise of Donald Trump is indicative of a greater discontentment in the political leadership of the nation from the American electorate, than any individual virtue within Trump himself. The percentage of people casting a ballot has been dropping for decades. In the last few elections around forty percent of those able to cast ballots did so. That means less and less people are deciding who will lead the nation. As fewer people cast ballots, those people that do, tend to be zealots and are blinded by partisanship. As a result the political leaders pander to a smaller and smaller, and more and more radical segment of the US population, further fueling discontentment with the election process and our leadership. As our leaders become more radicalized the electorate becomes more angry at the direction and feel less powerful. Trump has tapped into that anger and dissatisfaction to fuel his rise in the polls. This shows how far off the rails the US government has got.

There are twenty percent of the population of any country that makes up the lunatic fringe. They have ideas and goals that are drastically different than the average person. Moreover that lunatic fringe can be counted on to go to the polls. They are more than happy to engage in vote fraud and even brag about it. They are so radicalized they become blind to reality. Since only around forty percent vote, and twenty percent are radical leftists that always vote, any politician who panders to that fringe has a guaranteed near fifty percent of the vote! As both parties cater to that lunatic fringe the more they alienate the people. The more the average man and woman feel the political leadership has abandoned them, on both sides, the less and less empowered and more and more disenfranchised they feel, and become even less likely to vote. That is why the republican party has not fielded a conservative since Ronald Reagan, who we were told at the time, was “unelectable.”

Issues that anger the American people are the very issues that the lunatic fringe feed off. The lunatic fringe wants a more pluralistic society, which means, less white people and more diversity. The means is unlimited immigration. To that end they want more of anyone who isn’t white, Christian and is a Marxist. Illegal immigration is just the ticket. The lunatic fringe hates Israel and the Jews, that translates into more support for fringe Muslim groups who advocate the destruction of Israel and the final solution. That same faction blindly love socialism, which means they vote for whatever candidate will regulate more, tax more and spend more. Abortion is a sacrament to the lunatic fringe. They see no problem at all with crushing a baby for spare parts. They have a deep antipathy for the US Constitution and it’s limited government and so they will torture logic to bypass and castrate it’s protections. All of which infuriate and frustrate the average American.

Poll after poll shows the American people increasingly believe the nation is going the wrong way. Favorability polls of Congress, the President and the Judiciary are in the toilet and swirling. As fewer and fewer people vote, while those that do are increasingly the lunatic fringe, and those who get elected pander to that fringe, the trend must get much worse. The political class has abandoned common sense for extremist views. The paradigm is further enhanced by the new class media claiming the twenty percent of the lunatic fringe is the mainstream, while those who make up sixty percent, are called extremists.

Trump has tapped into the anger by saying what should be said, but the political class is too afraid of loosing the lunatic fringe votes to say it. They quiver in fear of angering that twenty percent because they know the sixty percent cannot be counted on to cast a ballot. In fact, that sixty percent can be counted on NOT to cast a ballot, so the political class scoffs at their views. Trump has changed the paradigm from pandering to the lunatic fringe to catering to the masses. Trump is a fighter who speaks loud and punches back when attacked. Unlike the political class cower whenever they are attacked by the lunatic fringe, with the exception of Ted Cruz who is possibly the most hated man in Washington today, for holding and standing up for actual American values.

Trump however is not a populist, he is not at all conservative and is in fact a member of the lunatic fringe. He has stated in the past he is pro amnesty, anti gun rights, pro abortion, anti property rights and likes cronyism. (Perhaps because he has made so much money from cronyism). His core values are far more in line with that of the lunatic fringe than the sixty percent. But, he is talking like a conservative libertarian. The media keep Trump in the spotlight and repeat everything Trump says like an echo chamber. They know and understand Trump is a progressive. Like John Anderson in 1980 election, Trump is there to ensure a real conservative doesn’t get elected. If he gets the republican nomination, the American people will have the “choice” of a progressive or a progressive. If he doesn’t he will become a spoiler and sap votes away from the republican candidate, especially if, God forbid, he or she is a conservative. The result will be, the lunatic fringe wins again, and the country continues down the slippery slope to oppression. The American people however have no one to blame but themselves… for not casting a vote.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Austerity

Sunday, July 12th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, the new class tosses words around like bombs, they are intended to blow up, terrorize and distort the perceptions of people, tricking us into believing a thing is bad, when it is in fact good. There is no end to the examples, but I want to focus in on the term, “austerity.” Most people had never heard the word, austerity, five or ten years ago. That is one of the advantages of using it as a political bomb, the usage and meaning are fluid in the minds of those who have never heard it. Since we use context to understand words we don’t know the meaning of, and in that context we assign them a definition in our own mind, we can be manipulated by them. Often that definition is based on a false premise. These properties of human language are exploited by the new class to motivate us into doing damage to our own self interests while advantaging them. Your self interest and that of your children are profoundly effected by such chicanery.

Governments, from time immemorial, have over spent. It is the nature of government. The reason is that those who get to spend the money are never the ones who had to work for it. They take it, often at gunpoint, and spend it to enrich themselves, their cronies and expand their power over the people. Such a situation works fine for awhile, but eventually the economy that supports the spending must become hollowed out and collapses. As the economy gets closer to the eventual fall, the elite become panicked that their gravy train might not pull into the station tomorrow, and use every trick in the book to make sure it does. They sock as much money away as possible, to protect themselves from the calamity they created, while gutting the people they are supposed to serve. To do that they have to manipulate us into allowing them to continue the spending until the whole thing collapses.

So, what does “austerity,” really mean? It has basically two meanings, the first and the one most people today assign to it is; “sternness or severity of manner or attitude,” the second and the one that makes the most sense in usage as it pertains to government is, “extreme plainness and simplicity of style or appearance,” and the third which is related to the first is, “conditions characterized by severity, sternness, or asceticism.” You see, what the elite are trying to make you believe by using the term austerity, is that severe, hard, and by association, mean… measures are being taken by government, for no reason other than to make poor people suffer. The reality is far different however.

Using words with a negative connotation like austerity is a way of fooling us into going along with the elite’s wants. Notice how whenever the word austerity is used… it is aimed at our interests? Moreover, when austerity is actually implemented, it is always tax increases and never meaningful spending cuts? The elite, who don’t have to pay taxes but do get the primary benefit of spending, always fall on the side of tax increases. When those tax increases lower Gross Domestic Product, they point to that evil austerity as the reason, never at the spending, it’s pernicious incentives or the negative effects of taxing an economy to death. Remember, tax is synonymous with friction and burden. They want to keep the gravy train rolling so they terrorize us with words.

Real austerity, austerity that is of the second definition, “living in a Spartan like manner, austere, eschewing comfort, living simply, etc…” would be cutting spending. That is never the way it is used though, is it? The word is tossed out like a mad anarchist bomber throws an explosive into a crowd. It is used to terrorize and disperse people. Real austerity in Greece, Argentina, Venezuela, Spain, Italy, the US and elsewhere, would be to cut spending. That spending will eventually have to be cut, because sooner or later there will be no one left, stupid enough or rich enough, to cover it. The people will become impoverished, the banks will go belly up and those elite who have made the most, will have their money in an ivory tower… guarded by people who’s allegiance is guaranteed by the fact they would die if they were thrown back into the burning building that will be our economy. Until then, austerity will be a dirty word, after that, real austerity, cutting spending, would have been the only thing that could have averted disaster.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Addiction to Government Spending

Thursday, July 9th, 2015

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, a heroin addict will not willingly stop taking heroin, until he or she reaches rock bottom. It is a matter of human nature. When someone is addicted to something, no matter what it is, the craving is stronger than the will. We might know in our hearts we should stop, we might understand with our minds that the addiction is killing us, but as the Greek referendum shows, most cannot fight their own cravings. The will is weaker than the desire. It has been said that our intellect is like a rider, and our emotions are like an elephant, the rider has some control over the elephant, but if the elephant desires to go one way, no matter what the rider does they cannot force the elephant to change direction. Moreover, our logic can desire to get something done, but the power to do it lay in the elephant it is riding. As to Greece, they are addicted to government spending, they feel it’s cancer spreading through the body economic, they understand it is killing their wealth and hopes, but they just cannot give it up. The example of Greece is one everyone should heed.

Government spending is like a drug, it seems harmless at first, it makes life seem better and once started it quickly becomes a habit. Those who become dependent on it, government employees, people on the dole, rent seekers, bureaucrats, cronies and oligarchs… realize their lifestyle would come to a crashing halt if the government was to cut spending. Moreover, government spending must be increased in order to get the same results. Eventually, like a drug destroys a human being, the addiction to government spending must destroy a nation’s economy.

Raising taxes to “solve” the spending problem is like increasing the dosage of heroin. It is always much easier to raise the dosage then to quit the drug. Ask any drug counselor and she will tell you the solution to a drug problem is not to increase the dosage, or the availability of it, the only solution is to quit cold turkey. That solution is never acceptable to those in power who are both pushers and addicts. To them, the solution seems obvious, take more money to plug the deficit the addiction to spending creates. We all know however, raising taxes never result in a plugged deficit, that “solution” is the path to self destruction.

Like a drug addiction, lowering the intake, or in the case of government spending, does nothing to stop the addiction, it only makes the cravings harder to resist. If small measures are taken to cut spending, say, cut funding for science research, is like an alcoholic changing to drinking only wine. It does nothing to stem the addiction but it gives the addict an excuse to keep the addiction going. Small cuts in peripheral spending are only ways to absolve themselves.

The addict will rationalize their addiction by saying she had a bad upbringing, he lives in poverty and the world is too unkind. In the same way, governments, and the people who are addicted to government spending, rationalize their addiction by claiming they are “helping the downtrodden,” the poor are incapable of surviving without a handout, how can you begrudge a bureaucrat a good salary, if you are against their addiction it shows you are a hateful person… The rationalizations are a numerous as grains of sand on a beach and just as abrasive to the body politic as sand is in a car’s engine.

Every drug counselor will tell you an addiction to drugs makes the person do things she would otherwise never do. Up to and including prostituting herself to get more heroin. Government is no different, that addiction to government spending creates such a strong incentive to corruption cannot be denied, but the addict will deny it to their death bed. A government that is addicted to spending cannot control themselves, like a little girl who must have Oxycontin, else she feels her bones are breaking, and will do anything to get it. They both justify their corruption to themselves… because they have to.

Once a people have become addicted to corrupt government spending and living off the work of others, even if they have eschewed that lifestyle for a long time, once it is started again, they go back to the level of addiction they had in the past. Like an alcoholic, if he is on the wagon for ten years, then takes one drink, he takes up where they left off and go back to being a raging alcoholic. That is why so many once great peoples and nations never seem to be able to get back to being great. The addiction to out of control government spending is too great for their will’s to overcome. Examples are legion, Greece, the font of democracy, is just one.

The best policy, like heroin, is to never open that door to start with. Keep spending and the size of government as small as possible, limit the role and scope of government to standards, and keep government from creating regulations, set strict limits on the level of taxation and back them up with real penalties for a legislature, executive or judiciary that violets them. Force government to avoid taking that first puff from the crack pipe, and you will go a long way to protect you nation and people from that terrible addiction, and addiction that must end in ruination. All spending however, even limited spending, is an incentive for more, and so all governments must eventually become addicts. It is the nature of humanity to be thus.

That government spending is like a drug is obvious, once you think about it for even a moment, but those who are addicted, like a heroin addict, will argue they are not addicts and become enraged at the mere mention of quitting. Cutting spending a tiny fraction is only a rationalization, it does nothing to stop the addiction, but only makes the addict believe he can control it. The reasons for government spending are innumerable, just like the reasons a heroin addict has to rationalize their addiction, but in the end are mere sophistry. Sadly, once a great nation has become addicted to government spending, that nation and people will always be addicted, no matter how long they have been on the wagon. The only way to stop an addiction from ruining a human life is to stop cold turkey, the only way for a government to really solve the economic problems that an addiction to government spending creates, is to cut government to the bone. Unfortunately, no government once addicted, will do that until the economy comes crashing down. Like Argentina, once they get back on their feet, they put the needle back in their arm the first chance they get.

Sincerely,

John Pepin