Incalculable Value

December 22nd, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, almost anything can be assigned a value, in fact, that is one of the basis of the market system, but we often assign value inappropriately. There are some thing that have incalculable value. Value is often based on scarcity, sometimes on utility and occasionally on vanity, but to have incalculable value is to transcend all other considerations. When we don’t understand value, we often destroy that which has incalculable value, for something with temporal value. How much of a loss is it to loose that which has incalculable value to get something of temporary value? The loss is magnified by the ignorance, because the loss comes directly from our hearts and souls. So many people diminish their lives, harden their hearts and darken their souls by misallocating value, that I thought it time to write about it, to help improve the lot of Mankind.

Intrinsic value is hard to come to grips with. A thing is often said to have intrinsic value if it is widely desired, like gold, diamonds, platinum or other pretty bobbles. The lust in men’s hearts for gold is often used to argue gold has intrinsic value. But does gold really have intrinsic value? It has utility as a metal for it’s conductance, luster, durability, malleability and resistance to corrosion, gold can be a store of value protecting us from devaluing fiat currencies, moreover, gold and gems are scarce. Sadly, the thirst for gold has driven men to kill each other with the blood lust of a cuckold, but do those attributes give gold intrinsic value? No, the value in gold, precious gems, art and other pretty things that touch the heart with lust, is simply vanity.

Water and air are perhaps the most utile things we know of. There is not one among us who could live five minutes without air and our bodies would die without water in less than two days. Therefore we can say that water and air have utility and are valued for that utility. But water and air are usually plentiful and being commonly obtainable they have little value due to scarcity. Make them scarce however, and a drowning man will give all the gold in the world for a breath, drop a woman in the desert without water and within a day, there is not a thing she would not exchange for a sip. The value of those things we need to live, are based on utility and scarcity, but don’t have incalculable value.

The value of a car is it’s ability to carry us from place to place, the value of money is it’s ability to be traded for those things we desire and need, while the value of furniture is in it’s ability to give us a place to set down. Our televisions have utility in their ability to inform us, divert us and entertain us, but there is no intrinsic value to furniture, televisions or cars. We value them and consider them precious, but in the end, they can be replaced. Too many of us value our things as if they had intrinsic value instead of for their utility. When we do, we often ignore or devalue that which has incalculable value, to our great loss.

Things have temporal value, in that their value is temporary and based on their utility, scarcity or our vanity, but only a being can have incalculable value. A being that loves us unconditionally like a dog or cat, a child that looks up to us with adoring eyes, the person who completes us, the mother or father who would gladly lay down and die for us, and the friend who will drop what he or she is doing and help us in our time of need… all have incalculable value. That value is not based on utility, the dog may make us feel good, and that is a form of utility, but the value of a dog far exceeds it’s utility. Our parents lives are temporary, since they are not immortal their value could be said to be based on scarcity, but to do that would be as soulless as a rock. Our children are an extension of us, but to value them as such is to base their value on vanity. The value of those who we love is never based on scarcity, utility or vanity, the value of our loved ones is always incalculable because they are irreplaceable and permanent.

It is in loosing sight of that with incalculable value by holding precious that which is temporal we diminish ourselves. What good is it to gain the world and loose one’s soul? What benefit is it to us to so value a car that we alienate someone with incalculable value over a scratch? To what end do we send someone’s child to die in a war over an insult, land, power or prestige? We loose that which has incalculable value for something with mere temporal value. What do we gain if we loose that which has incalculable value for that which has mere temporal value? To value scarcity, utility or vanity over the sacred, is to be unwise in the most profound way.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Solving Ukraine’s Problems

December 18th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, Ukraine’s situation is rapidly deteriorating, impoverishing it’s citizens and pushing the breakaway areas with war and the threat of war. What a sad state of affairs for people who, because of their geologic location, have taken it on the chin over and over. The political system is broken beyond repair with whomever is in power crushing any opposition at will. There is no effective protections for freedom of speech, assembly or conscience. The people of Ukraine deserve much better. Every nation on the planet could learn a thing or two, how not to run a country, from Ukraine’s example. There are answers to the thorny problems Ukraine faces, but unfortunately, real solution are being ignored for war and arbitrary power.

Ukraine’s history is one of invasion, violence and tyranny. From the dawn of history Ukraine has been invaded by empire makers. The Mongol invasions were particularly hard on the people, with whole cities raised to the ground, every man woman and child killed, even the dogs, cats and livestock! Tamerlane slaughtered the Ukrainian people with the glee of a demon. When the Soviet union controlled Ukraine, Stalin stole the food the Ukrainians had grown themselves, selling it on the world market, starving to death millions of human beings! The poor Ukrainian people have suffered for centuries under the heavy hand of sadistic invaders and despots. It is past time for those sturdy people to have a measure of freedom and prosperity.

President Petro Pososhenco continues in the footsteps of the man he deposed. Instead of ushering in an era of peace and prosperity he has turned to war and autocracy. While it is only human to want revenge for grievances suffered, when a politician does it, the lot of the whole people is lowered. Today the Ukrainian central bank is broke with all of Ukraine’s gold stolen. The war with separatists sporadically flaring up, and now with US lethal aid going to Ukraine, the likelihood of a shooting war with Russia becomes a real possibility. Crimea is lost to Russia, for now, and the Eastern cities are in the hands of separatists, which would be a blow to any sovereign nation. Sadly, Ukraine is used to blows, and is likely punch drunk.

A better option, in my humble opinion, would be to sign a peace accord granting the breakaway areas autonomy, as long as they don’t formally become part of Russia. This would stop the bleeding, both of human blood and economic red ink. War is never a good option especially when there is an alternative. Of course it take two for peace and only one for war, with the Russian Ruble in free fall, the Russian people looking at hyper inflation and the Russian economy collapsing, war becomes more probable, since war is a traditional way to make patriots of starving people. Nothing rallies a people like a rip snorting war. Granting the breakaway areas autonomy would take the possibility of outright war off the table.

The next thing Ukraine should do is get their political house in order. To that end, I have advocated for all nations, including Ukraine, a NUMA or Fourth Branch. It would chain the lawmakers to their own laws and Constitutional limits. Of course the Fourth Branch option would require a Constitutional rewrite. If done right such a rewrite would have many beneficial effects. The US Constitution should be the basis of any new Ukrainian Constitution… with the addition of a NUMA. A Constitution that strictly limits the role, scope and power of government, would allow the free market to do it’s thing. For a better explanation see an excerpt from my last blog here.

If these two things were done Ukraine’s economy would start flourishing. The Ukrainian people are smart, hard working and risk takers, all of which are essential to a rapidly growing economy. Until the war is ended, and the government retreats to it’s rightful role, the Ukrainian economy cannot possibly get on solid footing. If the economy of Ukraine becomes dynamic, the gross domestic product per person would skyrocket, or in other words, the Ukrainian people would see prosperity they could have only dreamed of before. Once that happens the breakaway areas will almost certainly petition the Ukrainian government to allow them back in. Self interest trumps all other considerations. Ukraine could slowly rebuild itself without the exigencies and ruin that protracted wars always bring on. This would be a peace and prosperity based solution to the fundamental problems of Ukraine. Wise leaders would take the path of peace and prosperity, while foolish ones, war and poverty… Let’s pray the leaders of Ukraine are wise and not foolish.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

The Brink Of Economic Collapse and World War

December 15th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, The world’s economy is teetering on the brink of collapse. I know, many “Henny Penny” pundits have been saying that for awhile, but I believe the portents are there to substantiate the thesis now. We are in this predicament because governments the world over are so in love with Keynesian economics, the welfare state and socialism. Japan and it’s Keynesian driven lost decade, France with it’s love affair with socialists and socialism, Germany trying to buck the trend, Russia more interested in expanding it’s sphere of influence than improving it’s core economy, South America’s fling with outright Marxism, the never ending wars and corruption destroying Africa’s economic future and China with it’s aggressive threat to expand it’s empire as well, our world is perilously close to an economic disaster that will lead to a world war. I hope and pray something can be done to head it off but I fear it is too late. Our leaders will never admit they were wrong about Keynesian tax and spend economic policy and their new class supporters would revolt if they did.

Japan had a huge budget surplus in 1990. Since then, they have spent so much on Keynesian stimulus they have built a huge debt, and have now stooped to monetizing their debt, in the name of “stimulus.” Their GDP is stagnant but the standard of living is falling due to rising inflation. All proving, no matter how much a nation protects it’s gargantuan corporations, unless small businesses are allowed to start and thrive an economy is DOA.

France sways between socialism lite and Marxism in it’s leaders. Even one of the most pro capitalist politicians in France, Sarkozy, is in love with the welfare state. France has gone from one of the primary engines of the Eurozone, to an empty freight car, that has to be pulled along with most countries in Europe. The southern nations of Spain, Italy, and Greece are in total economic collapse. Even Norway is having trouble with the low crude oil prices putting a damper on their economy. Europe is even intent on changing it’s demographic from Europeans to Middle Easterners, who have a totally different world view than Europeans, which is a social experiment never done before, with unknowable repercussions.

China has embraced Keynesian economics in a big way. They are following in the footsteps of Japan and the results appear to be the same as well. China has experienced a huge growth in the standard of living of it’s people, like Japan did after the war, because of it’s embrace of capitalism. It has done what Japan did, becoming a giant exporter of goods, and doubled down on the Keynesianism by ginning employment by building ghost cities. That economic paradigm can work for awhile, as we have seen in Japan, but once the economy matures to the point where cheap labor and crony protections stop being the primary driver of growth, China will, and we see it now, slow, stall then fall… as did Japan.

Africa is mired in a cycle of war, socialism and corruption. Even South Africa with it’s vast resources is faltering under the weight of it’s Marxist policies. There is not one functioning government on the entire continent! From Egypt and Morocco to South Africa and Namibia every government is either corrupt, outright socialist, at war, or some admixture. Despite the oceans of oil under Africa, the glittering mines of diamonds and gems, the uranium reserves as well as precious metals deposits, Africa’s economy has been in almost total free fall since the colonial powers were thrown out.

South America has gone down the road to serfdom in a big way. While Venezuela is the poster child of a dysfunctional economy, due to Marxism, the whole of the continent is staggering under the weight of Marxist insurgencies and policies. Venezuela stands a bit of focus, they didn’t buy the oil infrastructure foreign oil companies built, they moved troops into them and declared them state owned. Hugo stole anything he wanted. Despite getting the infrastructure free they cannot run it and it is collapsing. Argentina has more resources than 90% of other nations, yet continues to go through spate after spate of hyperinflation, because of their beloved welfare state. So much so they have obliterated the middle class.

The United States still has not recovered from the Great Recession despite the propaganda to the contrary. Even as the US economy continues to stagnate the government is intent on increasing regulations and taxes. Moreover, the US government has become enamored with becoming a police state, complete with total monitoring of all it’s citizens ala… 1984. The deficit has exceeded 100% of GDP at 18 trillion dollars on a 17 trillion dollar economy and rising another trillion a year. Even as the welfare state is destroying our economy, the new class calls for more welfare, more taxes and more regulations, while undermining wages with illegal immigrants, subsidized by welfare state policies. Proof is the US dropping in rank of free economies.

I like to compare the economic fortunes of places like Hong Kong and Singapore with the likes of Argentina and South Africa. The difference couldn’t be more stark. While South Africa and Argentina have vast natural resources, Hong Kong and Singapore have none, yet the economies of Hong Kong and Singapore are dynamic and bustling, while the economies of South Africa and Argentina are basket cases. The reason is simple, Hong Kong and Singapore encourage small businesses to start and grow, have minimal regulations and taxes, while South Africa and Argentina are highly regulated, high taxed and undermine the work ethic with their socialist policies.

All of this brings us back to my original premise, that our World’s economy is on the brink, and that brink could very well lead to world war. The collapse we are seeing in the price of oil is driven by diminishing demand because supply has grown less than reported World GDP growth. Since energy is a primary input for all economic activity, that lower demand is telling of the direction of our economy, of course it is a short termed event… due to the cartel. If our World’s economy does collapse, it will be because of the new class’ love of power and control over the lives and fortunes of the people, justified by the siren of socialism. Economic collapse will inevitably usher in another world war. WWII was driven by the economic collapse of the Wiemar republic brought on by the draconian terms of the Armistice and the Great Depression. This time it will be no different. The alliances might be different, but the result will be the same, poverty, violence and suffering on a global scale. Sadly, when it is over, our leaders will not have learned the lesson, again, they will go back down the Keynesian road of socialism and welfare state, again… with the same results, again.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Regulation in Canada and the US

December 11th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, the contrast couldn’t be more stark between the policies of Canadian Prime minister, Stephen Harper and the US President, Barak Obama, the difference being their exuberance to regulate. I am of course talking about Stephen Harper’s response to new regulation over Canada’s oil and gas industries. Harper called the idea, “Crazy economic policy…” While at the very same time, Obama is implementing new regulations to limit the amount of potentially explosive gasses in crude, shipped out of North Dakota. The first protects the wealth and freedom of the people while the second corrodes our economy, wealth and liberty. Unless we grasp this fundamental difference between sound economic policy, and poison pill economic policies, we will be forever trapped in an ever downward spiral of poverty and despotism.

Stephen Harper was the only head of state that successfully navigated the financial crisis with his country’s economy intact. Canada didn’t see the collapse of it’s economy like every other nation on Earth did, (including China), and it’s banking system emerged as one of the most stable on the planet. Today, Canada is experiencing a decline in their fortunes due to the floor dropping from commodities prices, because Canada’s economy is dependent on natural resources as the primary growth mechanism. Yet even with the steep decline in commodity prices the Canadian economy is still firing on all eight cylinders. Because of Harper’s policies.

The US on the other hand, was the primary cause of the financial collapse. The policies that led to the crisis had their roots in Congress’ desire for economic tinkering. Democrats had become incensed by what they called “Redlining of neighborhoods.” To rectify that “unconscionable” situation, they forced lenders, via regulation, to give loans to people who the lenders knew couldn’t pay back. Economics is like water, no matter how tight you hold your hands, you cannot squeeze water, and like water those regulation caused the banking and financial system to have untended consequences. The financial system had to create new and innovative ways to mitigate the risks of default by borrowers, through bundling huge numbers of mortgages together, including many good loans with a few bad loans, (a derivative), with the idea that if a few went underwater, the rest would be fine and the underlying security would be solvent.

When the housing market went into bear territory the whole scheme came crashing down. More loans were going into default than projected, due to home owners not only unable to pay their loans, but unable even to refinance, because their principle had now become higher than the underlying asset price, IE, their homes. Many lost their homes and many voluntarily gave the keys to the bank. This caused the whole economic system to become unbalanced, (since no one could determine the real value of those derived financial products). With no one able to fix the value of the derivatives, the banks balance sheets became opaque, leading to them looking to their insurers to re balance their books. The giant insurers like AIG became insolvent with so many claims, and the house of cards came crashing down… all because of the government meddling in the economy to give a politically favored class an advantage in an otherwise free market exchange.

Canada changed course when they elected Harper. They went from an uber progressive state to a conservative one… just in time. Harper has been trying to remove burdensome regulations from the books and standing strong against new economy destroying regulations. This latest statement from Harper is telling of how cagey he is when it comes to economics. He rightly realized that further hobbling an economy that is already being slowed by external forces, (the global slowdown), would be counter productive if Canada is to see economic expansion and an improving standard of living. The difference was further highlighted by the Canadian dollar versus the US Dollar, during the financial crisis, for the first time the Canadian dollar became more valuable than the US dollar!

Regardless of the economic weakness, Obama and his new class progressives are increasing regulations at light speed. The newest regulations on the US oil and gas industries is supposedly to protect people from exploding rail cars like in Quebec. Now, that makes perfect sense, unless you know the facts of what happened in Quebec. The cause of the accident that burned Lac-Megantic to the ground, was faulty brakes that allowed the untended full train to roll seven miles down a hill, and derail near the waterfront. It had nothing to do with any explosive gasses it had everything to do with the brakes on the train. Moreover, if safety is the real concern, then a pipeline could easily be built that would transport the crude more efficiently and more safely, but the downside of that idea, is that politically favored Warren Buffet would loose millions, since his trains are the ones that transport the crude.

Today the US is mired in an economic depression in some ways more pernicious then FDR’s. The reason is the incessant meddling in the economy by the elite to enrich their cronies at cost to everyone else. Thousands of hard working bureaucrats tirelessly writing new regulations to destroy the world’s economy has become the norm. Canada is trying to chart another course, piloted by Stephen Harper, that will enrich the average Canadian. Every time deregulation has been tried, it has resulted in economic prosperity, and every time the elite have become enamored with economic shenanigans, the economy has gone into depression. This time is no different. What I hope will be different, is that we will learn our lesson, that heavy handed regulation of an economy, destroys that economy. Sadly, with all the hard lessons we have ignored in the past, I doubt we will learn it this time, but at least Canada is on the right course… for now.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Arbitrary Rule and Great Poverty

December 8th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, two of the most corrupting influences on Mankind, are both arbitrary power and great poverty. Both stultify the soul and wither one’s empathy, they lower a person’s thinking to the most base level, reducing him to a mere animal, and both great poverty and arbitrary power give a human being a sense of entitlement, all of which lower instead of raise the individual. Only a saint could remain unaffected by unlimited power or great poverty. Therefore, if we want to live in a virtuous society, if we want mankind to grow in knowledge and wisdom, and if we want our children to live in safety and prosperity, we must strive to mitigate the effects and to eliminate arbitrary power and great poverty.

Arbitrary power has been known to be evil for thousands of years. Solon, the lawgiver of Athens, made even favoring arbitrary power punishable by the ostracism. Such was the threat the ancient Athenians held for arbitrary power. What arbitrary power is, is exactly what the term implies, that a person or group, have total control over a land and it’s people. They can make up laws as they want, they can change laws, they can take the property of others without consequence, they can order citizens executed without trial… basically, there is no limit on their power over others. Essentially, everyone suffering under arbitrary rule, are slaves, in the most draconian sense of the word. There are two kinds of tyranny, legal and arbitrary, a legal tyranny is the better because even the despot must follow the law when he tyrannizes you, but in arbitrary rule the despot’s power is unlimited. Nazi Germany is an example of a legal tyranny.

Great poverty lowers a human being’s thought to basic needs. What drowning man wouldn’t pull down even his own loved one? When living in great poverty a person doesn’t have the luxury of being able to take flights of imagination, the stomach intrudes on the mind. Those who live in great poverty have no means to change their lives because society itself lacks the resources. The starving man has no scruples around a loaf of bread, similar to a despot, who has no scruples at all. Seeing one’s own children starve to death takes away our humanity. How can it not? All of these factors impel those who live in great poverty to join rebellions, and engage in crime, because nothing strips the veneer of civilization from a person like starving to death. Unlike the despot however, once great poverty is lifted from someone their humanity returns rapidly, but the person who practices arbitrary rule is lost forever.

Wherever there is great poverty there is arbitrary rule, and whenever there is arbitrary rule, there will be great poverty. The two go hand in hand. In States where there is arbitrary rule the economy cannot function properly. There is not one example of an economy that survived arbitrary rule throughout history. Marxist nations have all collapsed economically because socialism grows arbitrary rule like a stagnant pond grows algae. Throughout the ages every great civilization that has risen in virtue has fallen in vice, vice that was introduced by arbitrary rule. When Pericles came to power in Athens he perverted Athenian polity and law to his own ends. He built great edifices to his mythical gods, and his ego, he used the ostracism as a weapon to enforce his arbitrary rule, and the result was the subjugation of Athens to Sparta.

In nations with great poverty there is always arbitrary rule. Darfur is an example of arbitrary rule destroying a people and ushering in great poverty. There has never been great wealth there, but the people had sufficient food, shelter and clothing. Once the despot, Al-Bashir, decided the people of Darfur were expendable, and on resources he wanted, he simply took the resources. When the people rebelled, Bashir sent military jets to kill them, he forced them out of their ancient villages and into the desert. The resulting great poverty was on television for all to see. Yet, most took the wrong lesson from that example, most believed the great poverty of the people of Darfur was the result of war, ignoring the root cause of that war, arbitrary power. Many believe Darfur’s great poverty could be alleviated by foreign aid, but the reality is that the warp and the woof of the problem is arbitrary rule.

Unfortunately, the siren call for the leaders of any nation to arbitrary rule is so great that only the most saintly, or the most limited, can resist it… and it is obvious that our leaders are not resisting. Despite the cautionary history of collapsed civilizations, lost wealth, and entire nations enslaved, arbitrary rule is even more of a threat now than ever in history. With modern technology, a despot could control every aspect of the people’s lives, like in the book, 1984 George Orwell. With our market based economies, of the various nations around the world, incipient arbitrary rule has already done great damage. Today we still live in relative wealth, but that is slipping away fast, even as we are told we should turn to socialism, to get an ever larger piece of an ever shrinking pie. In the end, if our children have to live in great poverty, it will be because we allowed arbitrary rule… again.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

What is a Well Educated Human Being?

December 4th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, our children’s education is the most important factor in sustaining our civilization as a highly efficient, prosperous, healthy and free society, with a growing standard of living. We all agree that these are the attributes of the civilization we want to live in and want for our children. The only way to have and to maintain such a place is by keeping people moral, hard working and informed. Ignorant people can be easily tricked into giving up their liberty, immoral people will rot their culture from within, and lazy people will let society crumble for lack of the energy to speak up. This suggests that education has more facets than merely reading, writing and arithmetic, a truly educated person is self interested rightly understood. Sadly we have ignored this monumental responsibility and allowed our schools to become absurd caricatures of what they are supposed to be. The proof is in the results.

Youths who graduate College and high school have no work ethic. Ask any employer and they will tell you it is much easier to get a foreigner to work than an American kid. Something in our culture and education must have ruined our children’s work ethic. Our parents had a very good work ethic, which shows the destruction of the American work ethic is recent, and throughout US history there has been a strong Protestant work ethic, showing the problem is not native to the American culture. That is the dirty little secret of why the Chamber of commerce wants immigration at all costs – to get some hard workers.

Any and every market system requires a measure of trustworthiness in the people that engage in it. This is not taught in our schools but is perhaps the most critical factor in a functioning market system. Moral people are easier to do business with, so it can be said that virtue facilitates economics, since education is to allow people to engage in the market system, part of a well rounded education has to include ethics. It can be said, the more moral a people are the better their economy will do, and it also follows, the more prosperity there will be. That should be pretty obvious. With every generation people become less trustworthy which is proven by the need for lawyers in every human interaction possible.

Logic is something that is critically absent in our culture today. The whole foundation of the Enlightenment, is the eschewing of authority for logical argument, but today logical argument has given way to emotional rhetoric and calls to authority, more than ever! Everyone who graduates high school should have at least an understanding of logical thinking. Teaching how to think is inculcating logic; teaching what to think is indoctrination.

A society’s likely prosperity could be measured by the percentage of people who are moral, knowledgeable and hard working, against those who are lazy, vile and ignorant. I would also argue the longevity of that civilization, level of crime and violence, as well as the basic well being of a society… could be similarly measured. Therefore, it is in all of our best interests to insure young people get a good education, so they become well rounded, moral, hard working and learned citizens.

To be self interested, rightly understood, is to understand that one’s own interests are tangled up in the interests of the State, their employer, their employer’s customers, the grocer, the street sweeper etc… The interests of all of us are entangled in such a way, that a bad done to someone we don’t even know could do harm to our way of life, and so it is in our interests to protect other people’s interests. Part of being educated is teaching children to become self interested rightly understood, ie, moral, hard working and well read as well as wise.

Education is more than being able to count, read and put down a comprehensible sentence, it is to grow a child into a moral, hard working and knowledgeable adult, who can engage in the market system and bring value to any endeavor they set themselves to. The advancement of humanity would be much faster and scientific progress would proceed quicker if our schools were turning out well educated students. Sadly, the quality of the education in the State monopoly school system is dropping even faster than the cost is rising.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

On The Riots In Ferguson

December 1st, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, the fundamental reason there are riots on the streets of Ferguson is the deficiency of clear knowledge of what really happened, magnified by the lack of a fair process for the redress of grievances. That lack of redress could be effectively addressed by the Fourth Branch’s Consumer Protection Bureau, and the lack of transparency, which was the first cause of this unrest, would have been solved by the Executive Ombudsman’s office. All the lives that have been lost, the businesses destroyed and future profits erased, money spent by government to police the uprisings, repair the damage and heal broken bodies, all of it would have been avoided had we had a NUMA. So much of what is wrong with our world today would be resolved, if we only could spread the news about the potential of a Fourth Branch, and then actually succeed in enacting one. Our standard of living would increase every year regardless of the political winds.

The spark of the conflict in Ferguson is the lack of knowledge of what actually happened that night between that officer and that unarmed man. Even the fuel of anger in the air, well above the lower explosive limit, came about because of the lack of transparency magnified by a lack of redress. Everything beyond that point in time is dependent on that lack of clear knowledge. If the police shot the unarmed man, (regardless of his skin color), while the man was pliant and not aggressive, the officer who pulled the trigger must be charged with, at the least manslaughter, and potentially murder one, if the crime was premeditated and so forth. If however, as the grand Jury found, the police officer shot in self defense, there should be no charges and the officer should be reinstated with all benefits and back pay without prejudice. Anyone who disagrees with either of these two possibilities is unreasonable, their opinion is based on prejudice and not on reason, to them there is no conciliatory logic.

So the basic problem is the lack of clear, unambiguous knowledge of what really happened, that everyone can agree on. If Darren Wilson was wearing a camera that night, recording everything that went on, and the video was available for anyone to see, there would be no reason for the protests, except as a violent means of sedition. One of the basic tenants of a Fourth Branch, or NUMA, would be that everyone in government would be monitored at all times, (like the checkout girl at Walmart). Internal Affairs in police departments would be handled by the state NUMA. More specifically, the Ombudsman of the Executive’s office, would monitor the Executive branch and all it’s employees. The police would be equipped with body cameras, turned on at all times when they are on duty, to protect them and the public. National police like the FBI would be similarly equipped using the same practices. Every interaction with the public would be available immediately upon request of any person involved or at the request of the Consumer Protection Bureau of the NUMA.

If someone had a disagreeable interaction with the police, or their son or daughter was, God forbid, killed, in an interaction with the police, or any other agency of government, that grieved or even an involved person could file a complaint against that officer, department, or agency, and the complaint would be looked into by the Consumer Protection Bureau. The complaint would get sent to an adjuster who would make the initial investigation within a month. After the initial investigation, if cause was found, the case would be assigned to an investigator, otherwise the results would be posted on a government website set up for that purpose. A case that gets appointed to an investigator would be exhaustively investigated, all the findings would become public record available on a government website, free of charge. If the investigator found cause for criminal proceedings the offender would be prosecuted to the full extent of the law.

Since the fundamental reason for the riots was a lack of clear knowledge, and a NUMA would have provided that clear knowledge, as well as a fair mechanism for redress of the grievances of family and friends, we can safely reason that if there was a NUMA in place in Missouri, this whole violent, expensive and bloody affair would have been averted. The lives that have been lost would not have been lost, the human beings wounded need not have suffered nor lost the use of limbs, the property destroyed would be available to enhance someone’s life, the businesses razed would still be providing paychecks to hard working people and the money not spent could be used to cut taxes, harden our electrical grid against solar flairs and EMP, provide incentives to entrepreneurs, or a whole host of other things to improve the lot of humanity, instead of on trying to get back some of what was lost. This is just one example of how a Fourth Branch, or NUMA, would make our lives better. How many more can you think of?

Sincerely,

John Pepin

You Cannot Control or Plan an Economy, It Can Only Be Ridden…

November 27th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, an economy is an organic thing, like a horse or a flock of birds, as such it cannot be controlled it can only be ridden. Control is a science and riding is an art. Science can only be applied in a scientific, (controlled) setting. An art can be plied in the real world, where everything is messy, and where “control” is a relative term. This is one of the fundamental reasons communism and socialism cannot work with human beings. Socialism and communism require an economy to be controlled. An economy cannot be controlled. Whenever someone tries, the economy explodes, destroying lives, fortunes and families.

The economy of even a tiny nation or city state, is far too complex to be tightly controlled, and if control is attempted, a long tailed event always occurs, destroying the economy. The random inputs to even a small fruit business are too many to be controlled. A small business person will tell you that he or she does everything possible to control costs, monitor employees and maintain quality, while satisfying the customer, but that it is impossible to control everything. That is where intuition and experience come in, a business cannot be controlled it must be managed, or in other terms, ridden.

Riding a horse is an art, as is, managing a business, herding cattle, painting a picture and running a government. What do arts have in common? All these endeavors seek only a portion of control. They take elements that are disparate, and keep just enough dominance over them that those elements work together, but not so much it breaks the system. If a cowboy tried to control every single cow, the herd would immediately scatter, if the rider tried to control the placement of the horse’s feet, the horse would quickly fall, if a manager tried to micro manage every action of every employee, the business would rapidly fail, an art requires domination of that which can be mastered and accepting that those elements that cannot be mastered will look after themselves. Only those things that can be completely manipulated with absolute mastery over every input and reaction can be controlled, everything else must be ridden.

To control something one must have a way to control any unforeseen exigency. In a complex system control is impossible because there is no way to have a mechanism in place to deal with any possible emergency. The universe of potential emergencies are too vast to be thought of let alone controlled for. Only when someone has total power over every facet of a system, process or reaction, can he or she be said to control it, and even that level of control is subject to God’s laws. In fact that is the scientific method. It is the way scientists have gleaned out the nuances of God’s laws in Physics, Mathematics, and Chemistry… Economics, sociology, psychology and even history are pseudo sciences and while subject to God’s laws they escape humanity’s grasp due to their complexity.

A pseudo science is a field of study that approximates a science but in fact is an art. History for example is written by the victors and as such cannot be a perfect illustration of the facts. A Periodic Table of the Elements would not be science if large portions of it said, “Dragons be made of this…” It would not be chemistry it would be alchemy. Chemistry is a science where alchemy is mere pseudo science. Economics cannot be a science in the true sense until sociology, psychology and a whole slew of other pseudo sciences become real sciences, because economics depends on them for many of it’s theories and assumptions, if an assumption is that “dragons be made of this,” then it is not scientific. Someday, economics may become a science but until then, it is only a pseudo science approximating science.

And so, if all the inputs, the wants, reactions, fears, hopes, desires, knowledge, work ethic, illness, cheating husbands and wives, etc… for every human being in existence cannot be controlled, an economy cannot be controlled. What is the next best thing then, if we don’t want a chaotic economy that doesn’t do what we want it to? To ride it, control what we can and accept that which we cannot, set the parameters and incentives such that most of the economic actors stay in the herd, go after the strays and bring them back into the fold, establish standards, eliminate micro managing regulations, and accept the truth that total control of the economy or in other words, the planned economy, is impossible. Only when we give up trying to control our economies and instead ride them, can we have better functioning economies that do what we all want them to do, create widespread prosperity, keep our nation’s militarily strong, (to protect that wealth), and provide a rising standard of living to our children and their children.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Illegal Immigration, Amnesty and Fairness

November 24th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me, one possible solution to the illegal immigration problem Obama’s policies have visited on us, would be to import one legal immigrant who is on the waiting list, for every illegal that is deported, and if the deported person returns illegally it would be a year in prison, then permanent deportation. All problems in human society exist because of negative incentives. Replace those negative incentives with positive incentives and many of the most intractable problems can be turned from a bad into a good. Change the incentive and you change the behavior. Our standard of living, our children’s welfare and even our very republic are in jeopardy if we don’t do something about illegal immigration.

Everyone agrees legal immigration is one of the factors that has made America great. Just think of how much Tesla brought to the US when he immigrated. Immigrants who take the time to come here legally, bring new ideas, new ways of thinking, they have persistence and have a strong work ethic. The US benefits greatly by legal immigration, illegal immigration however, brings with it many negative consequences. Some of these negative consequences are, an underclass, lowered wages, diminished economic outcomes for everyone, all forms of abuse, human suffering at every stage of the process, etc…

All policies, especially ones that directly impact human lives, must be fair. As I have said before Justice is the golden rule and the golden rule is fairness. The moment a person is treated differently by governmental edict than another – there has been an injustice done. That is self evident. So when someone files the paperwork, jumps through all the hoops and gets in line to enter the US, and another jumps the fence and is caught but allowed to remain, an injustice has been done to the person who is going the legal route. That injustice is magnified if the person who jumped the fence gets amnesty, the person waiting in line’s life is on hold, as they grow old, meanwhile guy who jumped ahead gets rewarded with amnesty.

Our market system, such as it is, requires honest people to function efficiently, therefore we should encourage honest people to come here. If no one could be trusted there could be no commerce. How could you trust a check if it was almost certainly bad? How could you work for someone if it was most likely you wouldn’t get paid? The economy requires, as a prerequisite, a basically honest people. Those who try to enter the US by the legal route, their very actions prove, they are more honest than someone who jumps the fence, who by their actions show, that law and morality are lower on their list of priorities than naked chaotic self interest.

The problem with illegal immigration is that it creates an underclass. The entire American experiment as well as the Western world view is based on all human beings being created equal, in the eyes of God and in the eyes of government. An underclass, especially a tacitly accepted underclass, is the antithesis of that moral foundation. An underclass in a society create a whole host of negative incentives to abuse those in the underclass. Why pay the going wage when you can get what amounts to a slave… to mow your lawn, tend your baby or vacuum your floors? The only ones who benefit by an underclass are those who plan on exploiting them.

Incentives always work, whenever human beings are the actors, incentives are the answers, here is how the incentives of replacing illegal immigrants with legal ones will function. When someone is caught in the US for any reason illegally, they would be immediately deported and someone who is on the waiting list would be given a green card. If someone who has been deported is found in the US again they would go to jail for a year and then be deported without being replaced. If anyone is caught a third time they would go on a permanent banishment list. They wouldn’t even be allowed to come here legally. Lastly, the teeth of Reagan’s amnesty program would be replaced, businesses that are caught hiring illegal aliens would face jail and huge fines. As the list of people waiting to come here legally gets shorter, and the list of those sent home gets longer, the incentives will become clear. People are smart and will take the path of least resistance.

The US needs immigrants, immigration policy must be fair, it needs to encourage honest people to come here, and one of the problems with illegal immigration is that it creates an underclass with all the negative effects on human beings of an underclass. Today, with Obama waiving his magic dictator’s pen, claiming he will give anyone who jumps the fence a free pass, the US has become a giant magnet to millions of iron filings. It has become foolish to try to follow the law to come here legally, all one needs do is get here by whatever means and Obama will grant you amnesty, and so, the US is being flooded by illegal immigrants. The elite that encourage illegal immigration must know the negative consequences to it, and therefore, they must also be accepting of those consequences. Imagine, destroying a nation’s economy, impoverishing working people by driving down their wages, creating an underclass to be exploited and abused, encouraging people to risk their lives and the lives of their children, to be that underclass… all so some multimillionaire new class progressive elite, can get their lawn mowed for a few dollars less.

Sincerely,

John Pepin

Living While We Are Alive

November 20th, 2014

Dear Friends,

It seems to me…

 

There once was a little worm named Phil.

Dig all day in the dirt, and the clay, but never could get his fill.

On everything he would chew, then digesting it too, he ate anything he will.

Master where he roam, in his kingdom of loam, he summered in pure glacial till.

 

I knew a little bird named Zat, well Zat was actually a bat.

Flit here, then flit there, he always knew where he was at.

His pride shown right through, it was clearly true, and he lived the life of the phat.

Wintering with a frown, he hung upside down, became a smile when he was flipped like that.

 

The tulip lay dormant in it’s frozen cell of torment.

While spring start above, bright sun beams love, the ground warms to wear it’s first garment.

Green shoots into the sky, the sun pulling it nigh, now the tulip is no longer in confinement.

Grow fast as it may, there soon will be a day, it’s flower will become an adornment.

 

Working all night and all day, just toiling away, there was Steaver.

Stocking his pantry, repairing the pond’s gantry, there were none who worked hard as that beaver.

He knew that this fall, his gamble would pay all, if only he worked with enough fever.

His pond tripled in weeks, and without any leaks, he had no equal in felling nor as a weaver.

 

Four living things breathe, they rest and they eat, at once proving that they’re alive.

A larva, a bat, or a bulb… a beaver and everyone all, we are called to push and to strive.

Each ascendant in our season, no one knowing when or the reason, but we all have that heavenly drive.

To be who we are, without worrying ourselves ajar, and living while were alive.

 

Sincerely,

John Pepin